跑馬地 · 2025-05-14 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-05-14跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的CRIMSON FLASH勝出，贏出3/4。STORM RIDER獲得亞軍；STORMING DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH B 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | STORM RIDER CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON V/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 8 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 2 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCKY EIGHT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | STAR SATYR H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 90.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | WUKONG JEWELLERY TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 10 | 65.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SKY CAP TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 9 | 25.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | STORM RIDER | 29.1% | 3.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH | 20.5% | 4.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 9.1% | 11.00 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 8.2% | 12.18 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.23 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN | 4.6% | 21.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY EIGHT | 4.2% | 23.55 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SKY CAP | 2.7% | 36.75 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | KING ECCELLENTE | 2.5% | 40.17 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | STAR SATYR | 1.2% | 86.01 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 27.5
PLACE
2 14
3 13.5
5 50
QUINELLA
2,3 51.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 25
2,5 101.5
3,5 105.5
FORECAST
2,3 89
TIERCE
2,3,5 977
TRIO
2,3,5 296
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 306
QUARTET
2,3,5,4 4,569
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/5/2 21,788
1/5/3 6,262
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,7/2,3,5 43,284
8TH DOUBLE
5/2 1,652
5/3 291
SIX UP
4,5/1,7/4,8/1,11/3,5/2,3 2,942
9 [L Hewitson] —
3 [M Newnham] —