跑馬地 · 2025-05-14 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-05-14跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的KING LOTUS勝出，贏出N。GALAXY WITNESS獲得亞軍；FORTUNE WHISKEY獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門GALAXY WITNESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KING LOTUS 1.09.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 6 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B-/TT M F Poon · D Eustace | M F Poon | D Eustace | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | MEGA BONUS V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | NEW POWER A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 2.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID B/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 10 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SANTORINI V A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | RISING PHOENIX B1 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 9 | 20.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | CASA RUBICK CP-/B1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 1 | 176.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | CHAMPION METHOD B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 81.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | FREE PONY H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 131.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY | 27.2% | 3.68 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | NEW POWER | 23.6% | 4.24 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | GALAXY WITNESS | 18.3% | 5.47 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | MEGA BONUS | 9.0% | 11.11 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | RISING PHOENIX | 6.0% | 16.75 | 9 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 5.2% | 19.32 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | KING LOTUS | 2.5% | 40.13 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | FREE PONY | 2.5% | 40.35 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | SANTORINI | 2.0% | 50.88 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | CHAMPION METHOD | 1.7% | 58.60 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 1.6% | 60.76 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | CASA RUBICK | 0.5% | 187.79 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 297
PLACE
1 10.5
3 26.5
7 67
QUINELLA
1,7 326
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41
1,7 95
3,7 277.5
FORECAST
7,1 1,013
TIERCE
7,1,3 6,460
TRIO
1,3,7 889
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 1,100
QUARTET
7,1,3,4 36,748
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
2/4/1 163
2/4/7 4,498
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/1,3,7 8,468
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 22.5
4/7 771