跑馬地 · 2025-05-28 · 12:15
第 4場
2025-05-28跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米。由E C W Wong策騎、P C Ng訓練的BITS SUPERSTAR勝出，贏出SH。THUNDER PRINCE獲得亞軍；ALWAYS MY FOLKS獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門ISLAND BUDDY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BITS SUPERSTAR 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | THUNDER PRINCE E/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 3 | 6.4 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 12 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 8 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | REWARDING TWINKLE CP-/SR1/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD PC A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 9 | 30.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 5.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | GENIUS BABY CP1/TT1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | DEVILDOM CP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | O'LINER TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 4 | 5.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | UP WITH CHARM B-/E1/P1 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 2 | 102.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ISLAND BUDDY | 18.7% | 5.36 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | COUNTRY DANCER | 17.0% | 5.89 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | O'LINER | 13.1% | 7.65 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | THUNDER PRINCE | 12.3% | 8.14 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 10.4% | 9.59 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | SWEET BRIAR | 7.9% | 12.74 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 4.7% | 21.05 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 4.5% | 22.12 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 4.1% | 24.37 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | GENIUS BABY | 3.4% | 29.56 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | DEVILDOM | 2.2% | 45.11 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | UP WITH CHARM | 1.7% | 57.54 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 203.5
PLACE
5 26
8 50.5
10 34
QUINELLA
5,8 737
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 220
5,10 124.5
8,10 243.5
FORECAST
8,5 1,693
TIERCE
8,5,10 9,257
TRIO
5,8,10 1,372
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 2,809
QUARTET
8,5,10,3 78,195
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
12/5 42
12/8 1,078