跑馬地 · 2025-05-28 · 10:45
第 1場
2025-05-28跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、K L Man訓練的VIGOR ELLEEGANT勝出，贏出2-1/4。DOUBLE SHOW獲得亞軍；FLYING PHANTOM獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門EVER SMART跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT 1.09.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SKY PROPHET TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 8 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | EVER SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 3.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB/CP1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 10 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE B/XB/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ACCOLADE START B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | GALLANT GOODY A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 1 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EVER SMART | 29.9% | 3.35 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE | 10.4% | 9.58 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM | 8.4% | 11.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | GALLANT GOODY | 7.9% | 12.60 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 5.3% | 18.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | SKY PROPHET | 5.3% | 18.93 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING HEART | 5.0% | 20.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | ACCOLADE START | 4.9% | 20.58 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 4.9% | 20.61 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 4.8% | 20.83 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.9% | 25.75 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 84.5
PLACE
1 36.5
10 31
11 30
QUINELLA
1,10 519
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 181.5
1,11 260
10,11 165.5
FORECAST
1,10 825
TIERCE
1,10,11 14,006
TRIO
1,10,11 2,445
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 4,081
QUARTET
1,10,11,4 73,714