Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 5 over 1200m. VIGOR ELLEEGANT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/4, with DOUBLE SHOW second and FLYING PHANTOM third. The 3.9 favourite EVER SMART finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT 1.09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SKY PROPHET TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 9.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT B Avdulla · T P Yung | B Avdulla | T P Yung | 8 | 7.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | EVER SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 3.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WINNING HEART B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK XB/CP1 K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 10 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE B/XB/TT E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 9.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | ACCOLADE START B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 40.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | GALLANT GOODY A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 1 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | EVER SMART | 29.9% | 3.35 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | JOYFUL LIFE | 10.4% | 9.58 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 9.4% | 10.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | FLYING PHANTOM | 8.4% | 11.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | GALLANT GOODY | 7.9% | 12.60 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 5.3% | 18.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | SKY PROPHET | 5.3% | 18.93 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING HEART | 5.0% | 20.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | ACCOLADE START | 4.9% | 20.58 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 4.9% | 20.61 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | ALMIGHTY KICK | 4.8% | 20.83 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.9% | 25.75 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 84.5
PLACE
1 36.5
10 31
11 30
QUINELLA
1,10 519
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 181.5
1,11 260
10,11 165.5
FORECAST
1,10 825
TIERCE
1,10,11 14,006
TRIO
1,10,11 2,445
FIRST 4
1,4,10,11 4,081
QUARTET
1,10,11,4 73,714