Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 3 over 1650m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with WIN BEAUTY VIVA second and AESTHETICISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FLYING FORTRESS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.38.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 38.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 7.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 3.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH Led early B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAMERON Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | M UNICORN P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | ALLCASH CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | AESTHETICISM | 21.8% | 4.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS | 19.2% | 5.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY TOUCH | 14.9% | 6.72 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | HAMERON | 11.3% | 8.84 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 8.6% | 11.68 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO LEGEND | 7.3% | 13.62 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | M UNICORN | 6.7% | 14.93 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | ALLCASH | 6.5% | 15.40 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 2.3% | 42.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | WIN BEAUTY VIVA | 1.4% | 72.54 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 148.5
PLACE
2 20.5
4 34.5
10 95.5
QUINELLA
4,10 2,456.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 132.5
2,10 411.5
4,10 622.5
FORECAST
4,10 4,309
TIERCE
4,10,2 31,946
TRIO
2,4,10 5,483
FIRST 4
2,4,7,10 5,270
QUARTET
4,10,2,7 203,209
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,4,10 475,095
6TH DOUBLE
2/4 400.5
2/10 216
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,9,11/1,2,4/Any Combination 1,416