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Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 3 1650m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.38.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.38.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 9 14.0 3/4
2 10 WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 5 38.0 3/4
3 2 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 7.1 1-1/4
4 7 SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 6.0 2
5 5 FLYING FORTRESS TT H Bentley · W K Mo 8 3.1 2-1/2
6 6 LUCKY TOUCH Led early B/TT A Badel · J Richards 10 3.8 2-3/4
7 3 HAMERON Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui 2 12.0 3-1/2
8 8 ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 41.0 5
9 1 M UNICORN P/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 1 18.0 8-1/2
10 9 ALLCASH CP/TT K C Leung · C S Shum 7 16.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 3 over 1650m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with WIN BEAUTY VIVA second and AESTHETICISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FLYING FORTRESS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JUMBO LEGEND—2. WIN BEAUTY VIVA+0.75L3. AESTHETICISM+1.25L4. SAMARKAND+2L5. FLYING FORTRESS+2.5L6. LUCKY TOUCH+2.75L7. HAMERON+3.5L8. ABSOLUTE HONOUR+5L9. M UNICORN+8.5L10. ALLCASH+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick AESTHETICISM (21.8%) finished 3rd — the winner JUMBO LEGEND was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 AESTHETICISM 21.8% 4.59 3
2 5 FLYING FORTRESS 19.2% 5.21 5
3 6 LUCKY TOUCH 14.9% 6.72 6
4 3 HAMERON 11.3% 8.84 7
5 7 SAMARKAND 8.6% 11.68 4
6 4 JUMBO LEGEND 7.3% 13.62 1
7 1 M UNICORN 6.7% 14.93 9
8 9 ALLCASH 6.5% 15.40 10
9 8 ABSOLUTE HONOUR 2.3% 42.72 8
10 10 WIN BEAUTY VIVA 1.4% 72.54 2
AESTHETICISMFLYING FORTRESSLUCKY TOUCHHAMERONSAMARKANDJUMBO LEGEND — wonM UNICORNALLCASHABSOLUTE HONOURWIN BEAUTY VIVA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 148.5

PLACE

2 20.5

4 34.5

10 95.5

QUINELLA

4,10 2,456.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 132.5

2,10 411.5

4,10 622.5

FORECAST

4,10 4,309

TIERCE

4,10,2 31,946

TRIO

2,4,10 5,483

FIRST 4

2,4,7,10 5,270

QUARTET

4,10,2,7 203,209

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,4/2,4,10 475,095

6TH DOUBLE

2/4 400.5

2/10 216

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,9,11/1,2,4/Any Combination 1,416