Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 4 over 1650m. PRESTIGE GOOD, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/4, with JUMBO FORTUNE second and AMAZING RUN third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.39.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 PRESTIGE GOOD Wire to wire V 1.39.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 2.6 2-1/4
2 11 JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 12 5.5 2-1/4
3 9 AMAZING RUN Closed strongly B-/TT- L Hewitson · D A Hayes 2 9.9 3-1/2
4 12 SUPER SICARIO Closed strongly H B Thompson · C Fownes 6 13.0 5
5 5 SIGHT SUPREME Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 1 11.0 5-3/4
6 4 JUBILANT WINNER Closed strongly V-/CP2/TT H Bowman · J Richards 11 8.3 6-3/4
7 8 JOLLY JUMPER V/TT A Badel · T P Yung 9 10.0 7
8 10 CHILL MASTER Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · K L Man 10 67.0 7-1/4
9 7 DAILY TROPHY B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 7 100.0 10-3/4
10 2 COMET SPLENDIDO CP/TT J Orman · C S Shum 4 14.0 12-3/4
11 6 SILVER UP B A Atzeni · C W Chang 8 13.0 19-1/2
12 3 MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 117.0 23

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRESTIGE GOOD2. JUMBO FORTUNE+2.25L3. AMAZING RUN+3.5L4. SUPER SICARIO+5L5. SIGHT SUPREME+5.75L6. JUBILANT WINNER+6.75L7. JOLLY JUMPER+7L8. CHILL MASTER+7.25L9. DAILY TROPHY+10.75L10. COMET SPLENDIDO+12.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SIGHT SUPREME (27.2%) finished 5th — the winner PRESTIGE GOOD was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 SIGHT SUPREME 27.2% 3.68 5
2 1 PRESTIGE GOOD 13.9% 7.21 1
3 8 JOLLY JUMPER 12.5% 8.02 7
4 11 JUMBO FORTUNE 10.6% 9.44 2
5 4 JUBILANT WINNER 8.0% 12.54 6
6 6 SILVER UP 7.7% 12.96 11
7 2 COMET SPLENDIDO 7.1% 14.16 10
8 9 AMAZING RUN 4.9% 20.23 3
9 12 SUPER SICARIO 2.9% 34.43 4
10 7 DAILY TROPHY 2.9% 34.89 9
11 10 CHILL MASTER 1.4% 70.17 8
12 3 MULTIDUTCH 1.0% 103.58 12
SIGHT SUPREMEPRESTIGE GOOD — wonJOLLY JUMPERJUMBO FORTUNEJUBILANT WINNERSILVER UPCOMET SPLENDIDOAMAZING RUNSUPER SICARIODAILY TROPHYCHILL MASTERMULTIDUTCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 26

PLACE

1 12.5

9 27.5

11 21

QUINELLA

1,11 84.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 43

1,11 36.5

9,11 84

FORECAST

1,11 149

TIERCE

1,11,9 869

TRIO

1,9,11 226

FIRST 4

1,9,11,12 596

QUARTET

1,11,9,12 7,660

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

12/8/1 2,827

12/8/11 2,437

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,8,10/1,9,11 76,508

4TH DOUBLE

8/1 528

8/11 292.5