Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 5 over 1200m. WOOD ON FIRE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with SO AWESOME second and ORIENTAL SURPRISE third. The 3.0 favourite SO AWESOME finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE V/TT 1.09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 4 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | SO AWESOME B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 3.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 3 | 46.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SONIC BOOM CP/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 8 | 36.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | MULTIDARLING CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 1 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | RAGNARR CP/H/XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 7 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CONCORDE STAR TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 11 | 140.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | HOSS B/XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | THE PRIME V-/B2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | CAMP FIRE SR/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.9 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SWEET DIAMOND B-/XB-/TT2 B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 6 | 20.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MULTIDARLING | 32.3% | 3.10 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | SO AWESOME | 20.9% | 4.79 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | WOOD ON FIRE | 7.4% | 13.51 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | CAMP FIRE | 6.4% | 15.53 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | HOSS | 6.3% | 15.96 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | RAGNARR | 6.0% | 16.66 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | THE PRIME | 5.3% | 18.82 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | SWEET DIAMOND | 5.3% | 18.88 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 4.7% | 21.06 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | SONIC BOOM | 2.4% | 41.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | CONCORDE STAR | 1.7% | 58.55 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 1.2% | 80.31 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 120.5
PLACE
1 97.5
9 14.5
11 34
QUINELLA
9,11 148
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 146.5
1,11 486.5
9,11 56.5
FORECAST
11,9 401
TIERCE
11,9,1 7,559
TRIO
1,9,11 1,636
FIRST 4
1,9,10,11 8,420
QUARTET
11,9,1,10 200,020
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/9 25
1/11 920.5