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Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 15:00

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 3 over 1200m. GRACIOUS EXPRESS, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with CHATEAUNEUF second and GOKO WIN third. The 3.8 favourite SPORTS LEGEND finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.09.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GRACIOUS EXPRESS CP-/V1/TT1 1.09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 9 11.0 3/4
2 1 CHATEAUNEUF CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 5.8 3/4
3 10 GOKO WIN B M Chadwick · D J Whyte 1 5.9 1-1/2
4 7 VERY GRATEFUL TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo 6 97.0 1-3/4
5 5 SPORTS LEGEND B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 4 3.8 1-3/4
6 3 SPICY GOLD P/TT A Badel · M Newnham 5 4.9 3
7 2 BUNDLE OF CHARM P- B Avdulla · J Size 7 10.0 3
8 12 SKY CAP TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 10 42.0 3-3/4
9 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui 12 37.0 5-1/4
10 11 WATCH THIS ONE CP/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 2 11.0 6
11 8 WUKONG JEWELLERY TT A Atzeni · J Size 8 28.0 6-1/2
12 9 WAVE GARDEN CP/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting 3 25.0 9-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRACIOUS EXPRESS2. CHATEAUNEUF+0.75L3. GOKO WIN+1.5L4. VERY GRATEFUL+1.75L5. SPORTS LEGEND+1.75L6. SPICY GOLD+3L7. BUNDLE OF CHARM+3L8. SKY CAP+3.75L9. GOLDEN EMPIRE+5.25L10. WATCH THIS ONE+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SPICY GOLD (21.5%) finished 6th — the winner GRACIOUS EXPRESS was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SPICY GOLD 21.5% 4.66 6
2 5 SPORTS LEGEND 16.2% 6.19 5
3 10 GOKO WIN 14.3% 6.99 3
4 1 CHATEAUNEUF 12.3% 8.10 2
5 2 BUNDLE OF CHARM 7.4% 13.45 7
6 6 GRACIOUS EXPRESS 6.0% 16.53 1
7 8 WUKONG JEWELLERY 4.9% 20.52 11
8 11 WATCH THIS ONE 4.5% 22.13 10
9 4 GOLDEN EMPIRE 4.3% 23.37 9
10 7 VERY GRATEFUL 3.9% 25.33 4
11 12 SKY CAP 3.1% 32.15 8
12 9 WAVE GARDEN 1.5% 66.45 12
SPICY GOLDSPORTS LEGENDGOKO WINCHATEAUNEUFBUNDLE OF CHARMGRACIOUS EXPRESS — wonWUKONG JEWELLERYWATCH THIS ONEGOLDEN EMPIREVERY GRATEFULSKY CAPWAVE GARDEN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 110.5

PLACE

1 22.5

6 34.5

10 18.5

QUINELLA

1,6 342.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 109

1,10 64

6,10 106

FORECAST

6,1 826

TIERCE

6,1,10 4,100

TRIO

1,6,10 464

FIRST 4

1,6,7,10 10,325

QUARTET

6,1,10,7 188,117

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

4/3,6/1 432

4/3,6/6 5,104

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,5>3,6/1,6,10 77,951

8TH DOUBLE

3,6/1 35

3,6/6 405

SIX UP

5,8/1,11/2,4/4,10/3,5,6/1,6 28,020

8/1/2/4/3,6/6 1,281,050

2 [J Size]

8 [K C Leung]