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Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 19:41

Race 3

Class 4 2200m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.15.42
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H 2.15.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Size 1 5.5 1/2
2 8 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B M L Yeung · J Size 7 4.4 1/2
3 5 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards 4 15.0 2
4 4 JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · C S Shum 5 21.0 2-3/4
5 6 PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung 12 51.0 6
6 10 HAKKA RADIANCE TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 8 5.5 6-1/2
7 9 KINGLY DEMEANOR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 8.2 6-3/4
8 7 MANAGEMENT FOLKS B2 K Teetan · D J Hall 2 7.0 7
9 1 BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B/TT1 H Bowman · P C Ng 11 8.4 8
10 2 SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 10 16.0 9
11 3 DILBAGH SR/XB2/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 100.0 10-3/4
12 11 LUCKY BANNER Led early TT B Thompson · C Fownes 3 24.0 15-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 4 over 2200m. PING HAI COMET, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with PERFECT PAIRING second and ROMANTIC FANTASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite PERFECT PAIRING finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PING HAI COMET—2. PERFECT PAIRING+0.5L3. ROMANTIC FANTASY+2L4. JOYFUL PROSPERITY+2.75L5. PERPETUAL POWER+6L6. HAKKA RADIANCE+6.5L7. KINGLY DEMEANOR+6.75L8. MANAGEMENT FOLKS+7L9. BEAUTY VIVA+8L10. SERANGOON+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MANAGEMENT FOLKS (18.5%) finished 8th — the winner PING HAI COMET was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 MANAGEMENT FOLKS 18.5% 5.39 8
2 12 PING HAI COMET 16.1% 6.19 1
3 8 PERFECT PAIRING 14.7% 6.80 2
4 10 HAKKA RADIANCE 14.2% 7.02 6
5 1 BEAUTY VIVA 9.7% 10.27 9
6 9 KINGLY DEMEANOR 8.5% 11.73 7
7 5 ROMANTIC FANTASY 6.2% 16.26 3
8 2 SERANGOON 4.4% 22.90 10
9 4 JOYFUL PROSPERITY 2.8% 35.25 4
10 11 LUCKY BANNER 2.6% 38.42 12
11 6 PERPETUAL POWER 1.1% 91.74 5
12 3 DILBAGH 1.0% 95.38 11
MANAGEMENT FOLKSPING HAI COMET — wonPERFECT PAIRINGHAKKA RADIANCEBEAUTY VIVAKINGLY DEMEANORROMANTIC FANTASYSERANGOONJOYFUL PROSPERITYLUCKY BANNERPERPETUAL POWERDILBAGH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 55.5

PLACE

5 45.5

8 17.5

12 25

QUINELLA

8,12 149.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 147

5,12 206

8,12 58.5

FORECAST

12,8 292

TIERCE

12,8,5 4,394

TRIO

5,8,12 914

FIRST 4

4,5,8,12 3,416

QUARTET

12,8,5,4 52,549

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,11/5,8,12 160,704

2ND DOUBLE

11/8 127

11/12 936