Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 4 over 2200m. PING HAI COMET, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with PERFECT PAIRING second and ROMANTIC FANTASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite PERFECT PAIRING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PING HAI COMET Closed strongly H 2.15.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 1 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 7 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 4 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 5 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 8 | 5.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS B2 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 7.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B/TT1 H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 11 | 8.4 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 10 | 16.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | DILBAGH SR/XB2/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 100.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | LUCKY BANNER Led early TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 3 | 24.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 18.5% | 5.39 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | PING HAI COMET | 16.1% | 6.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | PERFECT PAIRING | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 14.2% | 7.02 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | BEAUTY VIVA | 9.7% | 10.27 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 8.5% | 11.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 6.2% | 16.26 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SERANGOON | 4.4% | 22.90 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 2.8% | 35.25 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY BANNER | 2.6% | 38.42 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | PERPETUAL POWER | 1.1% | 91.74 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | DILBAGH | 1.0% | 95.38 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 55.5
PLACE
5 45.5
8 17.5
12 25
QUINELLA
8,12 149.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 147
5,12 206
8,12 58.5
FORECAST
12,8 292
TIERCE
12,8,5 4,394
TRIO
5,8,12 914
FIRST 4
4,5,8,12 3,416
QUARTET
12,8,5,4 52,549
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,11/5,8,12 160,704
2ND DOUBLE
11/8 127
11/12 936