Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 14:25
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 4 over 1650m. SKY VINO, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with AMAZING AWARD second and VIVA GRACIOUSNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKY VINO Closed strongly TT 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 2.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 1 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ICONICAL TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 5 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 9.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 2 | 8.1 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 26.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | I P O BROS B B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 6 | 37.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | QUICK QUICK WIN B/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 3 | 79.0 | 24 |
| — | 6 | SWAGGER BRO B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SKY VINO | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN | 18.5% | 5.40 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | ICONICAL | 14.8% | 6.74 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | RUN RUN TIMING | 13.1% | 7.65 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | THE AZURE | 8.0% | 12.45 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 7.5% | 13.31 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | RAGING RAPIDS | 5.4% | 18.69 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 4.3% | 23.38 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE STAR | 4.0% | 25.29 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | I P O BROS | 1.9% | 52.91 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 0.7% | 135.79 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 27.5
PLACE
2 60.5
3 13
5 20.5
QUINELLA
3,5 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 115
2,5 220.5
3,5 38.5
FORECAST
3,5 174
TIERCE
3,5,2 1,928
TRIO
2,3,5 579
FIRST 4
2,3,5,11 1,411
QUARTET
3,5,2,11 20,411
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/3,6 348.5
4/5 240