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Happy Valley · 2025-05-28 · 22:23

Race 8

Class 4 1650m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 SKY VINO Closed strongly TT 1.39.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 2.7 1-3/4
2 5 AMAZING AWARD Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 9 7.9 1-3/4
3 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 11 25.0 2-1/2
4 11 RUN RUN TIMING Led early TT H Bentley · C H Yip 1 6.1 3
5 8 ICONICAL TT H Bowman · J Richards 5 10.0 3-1/4
6 10 FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 8.4 3-1/2
7 1 THE AZURE Closed strongly K C Leung · F C Lor 12 9.7 4-1/2
8 4 SATIRICAL FAN TT J Orman · C S Shum 2 8.1 7
9 9 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · J Size 10 26.0 9
10 7 I P O BROS B B Thompson · D A Hayes 6 37.0 15-1/4
11 12 QUICK QUICK WIN B/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 3 79.0 24
— 6 SWAGGER BRO B Avdulla · D A Hayes — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-28 was Class 4 over 1650m. SKY VINO, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with AMAZING AWARD second and VIVA GRACIOUSNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY VINO—2. AMAZING AWARD+1.75L3. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS+2.5L4. RUN RUN TIMING+3L5. ICONICAL+3.25L6. FORTUNE STAR+3.5L7. THE AZURE+4.5L8. SATIRICAL FAN+7L9. RAGING RAPIDS+9L10. I P O BROS+15.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SKY VINO (21.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SKY VINO 21.8% 4.58 1
2 4 SATIRICAL FAN 18.5% 5.40 8
3 8 ICONICAL 14.8% 6.74 5
4 11 RUN RUN TIMING 13.1% 7.65 4
5 1 THE AZURE 8.0% 12.45 7
6 5 AMAZING AWARD 7.5% 13.31 2
7 9 RAGING RAPIDS 5.4% 18.69 9
8 2 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 4.3% 23.38 3
9 10 FORTUNE STAR 4.0% 25.29 6
10 7 I P O BROS 1.9% 52.91 10
11 12 QUICK QUICK WIN 0.7% 135.79 11
SKY VINO — wonSATIRICAL FANICONICALRUN RUN TIMINGTHE AZUREAMAZING AWARDRAGING RAPIDSVIVA GRACIOUSNESSFORTUNE STARI P O BROSQUICK QUICK WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 27.5

PLACE

2 60.5

3 13

5 20.5

QUINELLA

3,5 98.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 115

2,5 220.5

3,5 38.5

FORECAST

3,5 174

TIERCE

3,5,2 1,928

TRIO

2,3,5 579

FIRST 4

2,3,5,11 1,411

QUARTET

3,5,2,11 20,411

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

4/3,6 348.5

4/5 240