跑馬地 · 2025-06-11 · 11:45
第 2場
2025-06-11跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1000米。由J Orman策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的CANDLELIGHT DINNER勝出，贏出1-1/4。DAY DAY VICTORY獲得亞軍；HAPPY BOYS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H 0.56.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 75.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | FLYING TING LOK H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 5.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE B/XB E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 9 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 11 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 7 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | THOUSAND CUPS TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 2 | 40.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | WINNING CIGAR Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG STRIKER TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT H-/P-/B1/TT- B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 4 | 95.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | E UNIVERSE V2/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 24.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 21.5% | 4.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | WINNING CIGAR | 17.9% | 5.59 | 9 |
| 3 | 1 | FLYING TING LOK | 16.3% | 6.13 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY UNITED | 13.3% | 7.50 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 10.9% | 9.16 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE | 7.6% | 13.24 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.8% | 20.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | E UNIVERSE | 2.6% | 38.03 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | YOUNG STRIKER | 1.6% | 62.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | THOUSAND CUPS | 1.2% | 82.45 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 1.2% | 83.43 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS | 1.1% | 90.25 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 34.5
PLACE
2 16
9 147.5
11 17
QUINELLA
2,11 81
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 501.5
2,11 33.5
9,11 574
FORECAST
2,11 151
TIERCE
2,11,9 7,995
TRIO
2,9,11 2,161
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 1,954
QUARTET
2,11,9,1 33,788
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/2 462
4/11 108