跑馬地 · 2025-06-11 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-06-11跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Hamelin策騎、C S Shum訓練的NORDIC DRAGON勝出，贏出1/2。SOVEREIGN FUND獲得亞軍；EVERSTAR獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門CHATEAUNEUF跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 5 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 9.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | EVERSTAR CP H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VERY GRATEFUL TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FATAL BLOW B1 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SKY CAP TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LOOKING BRIGHT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 4.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | HAYDAY C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 12 | 34.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | KING MILES H/CP1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 5.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE B/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 11 | 79.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KING MILES | 21.0% | 4.75 | 11 |
| 2 | 5 | NORDIC DRAGON | 14.6% | 6.85 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | FATAL BLOW | 11.2% | 8.93 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 10.4% | 9.63 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | EVERSTAR | 9.7% | 10.26 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF | 9.7% | 10.28 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | VERY GRATEFUL | 9.2% | 10.85 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.0% | 19.94 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | HAYDAY | 2.6% | 37.94 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | LOOKING BRIGHT | 2.6% | 39.01 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | SKY CAP | 2.3% | 43.11 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | GOLDEN RISE | 1.6% | 63.99 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 63.5
PLACE
5 24.5
9 20.5
11 26.5
QUINELLA
5,11 297
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 92
5,11 92.5
9,11 80.5
FORECAST
5,11 602
TIERCE
5,11,9 4,112
TRIO
5,9,11 602
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 1,381
QUARTET
5,11,9,8 37,102
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/4/5 14,945
6/4/11 1,876
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,9/5,9,11 110,082
8TH DOUBLE
4/5 917.5
4/11 144
SIX UP
6,12/8,12/4,8/2,6/4,6/5,11 16,506
12/8/4/6/4/5 1,479,138
1 [C Fownes] —
5 [H Bentley] —