跑馬地 · 2025-07-09 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-07-09跑馬地第7場,Class 4,途程1200米。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ACE POWER勝出,贏出3/4。BIENVENUE獲得亞軍;WRITTEN CASA獲得季軍。5.0倍大熱門FORTUNE WHISKEY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ACE POWER B-/V1/TT 1.09.49 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WRITTEN CASA B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | DENFIELD TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | METAL KING CP1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH H A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 8.8 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ENJOY GOLF V-/B2 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 5.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY PARK A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ENJOY GOLF | 17.0% | 5.90 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 15.7% | 6.38 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | PRIME MORTAR | 13.9% | 7.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | BIENVENUE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 9.4% | 10.69 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | DENFIELD | 6.4% | 15.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | COUNTRY DANCER | 5.9% | 16.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | WRITTEN CASA | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH | 5.2% | 19.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY PARK | 4.8% | 20.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | ACE POWER | 3.1% | 32.56 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | METAL KING | 2.4% | 42.20 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 465
PLACE
4 20.5
5 45.5
11 119
QUINELLA
4,11 1,480
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 186
4,11 453
5,11 877.5
FORECAST
11,4 3,705
TIERCE
11,4,5 61,260
TRIO
4,5,11 3,378
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 7,237
QUARTET
11,4,5,3 285,090
全部彩池(另 3 項)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/4,5,11 1,335,440
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 41
3/11 2,078.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,10/3,6,9/Any Combination 35,423