跑馬地 · 2025-07-09 · 14:20
第 8場
2025-07-09跑馬地第8場，Class 2，途程1800米。由H Bowman策騎、C Fownes訓練的JUMBO LEGEND勝出，贏出SH。WOODFIRE BRO獲得亞軍；CAMBRIDGE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門CAMBRIDGE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND 後段發力 TT 1.48.64 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 24.0 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | CAMBRIDGE 後段發力 XB/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 6 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | EMBRACES 後段發力 TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | BRAVEHEARTS 後段發力 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 10 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING WING B/TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 3 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | STAR MAC 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION 早段領放 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 8 | 35.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | NOISY BOY TT L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 11 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | C P BRAVE E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CAMBRIDGE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 13.3% | 7.50 | 8 |
| 3 | 11 | STAR MAC | 10.8% | 9.28 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND | 10.2% | 9.84 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | WINNING WING | 9.7% | 10.33 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 7.0% | 14.20 | 10 |
| 7 | 3 | BRAVEHEARTS | 6.1% | 16.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | EMBRACES | 5.0% | 20.09 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 4.3% | 23.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | NOISY BOY | 3.5% | 28.47 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO | 2.8% | 35.93 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | PACKING HURRICANE | 2.7% | 37.48 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 117.5
PLACE
6 30.5
7 61.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
6,7 1,533.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 418.5
6,9 94.5
7,9 206.5
FORECAST
6,7 2,685
TIERCE
6,7,9 12,607
TRIO
6,7,9 1,643
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 5,660
QUARTET
6,7,9,4 178,599
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
11/6 7,791
11/7 1,607.5