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Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 2 1800m Course A 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.48.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly TT 1.48.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes 5 11.0 SH
2 7 WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang 7 24.0 SH
3 9 CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · P C Ng 6 3.7 3/4
4 4 EMBRACES Closed strongly TT C L Chau · W K Mo 12 17.0 1
5 3 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M Chadwick · M Newnham 10 9.9 1-1/4
6 10 WINNING WING B/TT H T Mo · K W Lui 3 4.6 1-1/2
7 11 STAR MAC Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes 2 8.0 2-1/4
8 8 BEAUTY ALLIANCE A Badel · J Size 9 8.7 2-1/4
9 2 SHARPEN BRIGHT B M F Poon · D J Hall 1 27.0 4-1/2
10 5 FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early K C Leung · F C Lor 4 12.0 4-1/2
11 12 PACKING HURRICANE B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace 8 35.0 7
12 1 NOISY BOY TT L Ferraris · C H Yip 11 16.0 8-3/4
— 0 C P BRAVE E C W Wong · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 2 over 1800m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with WOODFIRE BRO second and CAMBRIDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite CAMBRIDGE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JUMBO LEGEND—2. WOODFIRE BRO+0.1L3. CAMBRIDGE+0.75L4. EMBRACES+1L5. BRAVEHEARTS+1.25L6. WINNING WING+1.5L7. STAR MAC+2.25L8. BEAUTY ALLIANCE+2.25L9. SHARPEN BRIGHT+4.5L10. FLAMINGO TRILLION+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick CAMBRIDGE (24.6%) finished 3rd — the winner JUMBO LEGEND was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 CAMBRIDGE 24.6% 4.07 3
2 8 BEAUTY ALLIANCE 13.3% 7.50 8
3 11 STAR MAC 10.8% 9.28 7
4 6 JUMBO LEGEND 10.2% 9.84 1
5 10 WINNING WING 9.7% 10.33 6
6 5 FLAMINGO TRILLION 7.0% 14.20 10
7 3 BRAVEHEARTS 6.1% 16.27 5
8 4 EMBRACES 5.0% 20.09 4
9 2 SHARPEN BRIGHT 4.3% 23.02 9
10 1 NOISY BOY 3.5% 28.47 12
11 7 WOODFIRE BRO 2.8% 35.93 2
12 12 PACKING HURRICANE 2.7% 37.48 11
CAMBRIDGEBEAUTY ALLIANCESTAR MACJUMBO LEGEND — wonWINNING WINGFLAMINGO TRILLIONBRAVEHEARTSEMBRACESSHARPEN BRIGHTNOISY BOYWOODFIRE BROPACKING HURRICANE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 117.5

PLACE

6 30.5

7 61.5

9 17.5

QUINELLA

6,7 1,533.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 418.5

6,9 94.5

7,9 206.5

FORECAST

6,7 2,685

TIERCE

6,7,9 12,607

TRIO

6,7,9 1,643

FIRST 4

4,6,7,9 5,660

QUARTET

6,7,9,4 178,599

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

11/6 7,791

11/7 1,607.5