Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 3 over 1200m. SOVEREIGN FUND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with GRACIOUS EXPRESS second and FUN ELITE third. The 3.6 favourite POWER KOEPP finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND B/TT 1.09.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 12 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS V/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 2 | 6.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | FUN ELITE TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | POWER KOEPP A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 3 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | VERY GRATEFUL B1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY INFINITY M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 10 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 5 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 7 | 9.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | EVERSTAR CP M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | MARVEL AND GOLD H-/E1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 9 | 67.0 | 32-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | POWER KOEPP | 24.0% | 4.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | GRACIOUS EXPRESS | 13.9% | 7.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | VERY GRATEFUL | 12.3% | 8.16 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | NORDIC DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.81 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | FUN ELITE | 7.2% | 13.83 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 6.9% | 14.46 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 6.6% | 15.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | EVERSTAR | 6.2% | 16.08 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | NEVER TOO SOON | 5.5% | 18.25 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR | 4.3% | 23.49 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 0.8% | 127.92 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 88.5
PLACE
5 23
8 27
12 34
QUINELLA
5,8 317.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 107
5,12 113.5
8,12 153
FORECAST
8,5 709
TIERCE
8,5,12 8,214
TRIO
5,8,12 1,241
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 3,947
QUARTET
8,5,12,1 85,256
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
11/6/5 7,609
11/6/8 96,223
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,9/5,8,12 689,856
8TH DOUBLE
6/5 223
6/8 1,688
SIX UP
4,6/8,10/3,6/4,11/6,7/5,8 144,860
4 [D J Whyte] —
8 [H Bowman] —