Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 4 over 1000m. LUCKY TWENTY, ridden by J Orman and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with HARMONY FIRE second and DAY DAY VICTORY third. The 3.5 favourite DAY DAY VICTORY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LUCKY TWENTY 0.56.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K H Ting | J Orman | K H Ting | 11 | 61.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | HARMONY FIRE XB-/B/TT2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | DAY DAY VICTORY A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY UNITED B/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 10 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS XB Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 12 | 9.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | KING VICTOR P K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 6 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | POWER SUMMIT SR1/TT1 K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 2 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 4.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 9 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT B B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 1 | 75.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 14.0 | 11-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LEAN MASTER | 24.8% | 4.03 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 23.5% | 4.26 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | POWER SUMMIT | 11.6% | 8.65 | 8 |
| 4 | 6 | HARMONY FIRE | 9.1% | 11.01 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS | 8.8% | 11.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 7.8% | 12.82 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | HAPPY UNITED | 5.8% | 17.10 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY TWENTY | 3.2% | 30.82 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | THOUSAND CUPS | 1.8% | 56.37 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | FORTUNE RACER | 1.5% | 65.68 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | KING VICTOR | 1.1% | 88.58 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | DIVINE MOONLIGHT | 0.9% | 108.50 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 617.5
PLACE
4 166
6 18.5
10 15
QUINELLA
4,6 1,506
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 469
4,10 437
6,10 32.5
FORECAST
4,6 3,279
TIERCE
4,6,10 17,550
TRIO
4,6,10 1,564
FIRST 4
2,4,6,10 3,072
QUARTET
4,6,10,2 144,156
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/4 6,214.5
8/6 157.5