Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 5 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | MIGHTY STEED Led early CP Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 7 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SMART CITY CP/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 2 | 3.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly PC-/E/B2/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR XB L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 6 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 4 | 53.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | SMART TRIO V/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 12 | 88.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 11 | 29.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 4 over 1650m. RED MAJESTY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with MIGHTY STEED second and CAPITAL LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite JUMBO FORTUNE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 27.1% | 3.69 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | SMART CITY | 16.8% | 5.97 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | JUMBO FORTUNE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | MEEPMEEP | 7.1% | 14.09 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | MIGHTY STEED | 6.7% | 14.88 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 6.5% | 15.50 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | PRINCE ALEX | 6.1% | 16.34 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR | 4.0% | 24.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | RED MAJESTY | 3.9% | 25.90 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 3.2% | 31.19 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 2.7% | 36.72 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | SMART TRIO | 0.8% | 119.77 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 163
PLACE
1 16
8 20.5
10 42
QUINELLA
8,10 316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 45
1,10 113.5
8,10 107
FORECAST
10,8 830
TIERCE
10,8,1 3,785
TRIO
1,8,10 563
FIRST 4
1,8,9,10 783
QUARTET
10,8,1,9 25,781
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/4/8 11,798
8/4/10 158,464
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,10/1,8,10 70,125
4TH DOUBLE
4/8 787
4/10 10,857.5