Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. VICTOR THE RAPID, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P C Ng, won by 3, with TACTICAL COMMAND second and NEBRASKAN third. The 4.1 favourite NEBRASKAN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID TT 1.09.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 10 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | NEBRASKAN B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | SKY SONG B2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | DREAMING WINNER CP/H/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 3 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 124.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MEOWTH TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 6 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | RUN YES RUN B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 12 | 196.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | JOLLY RULER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 7.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | FLOWING RICHES M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 11 | 4.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BUNTA BABY B-/V1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 20.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MING SUPREME C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 19.8% | 5.05 | 10 |
| 2 | 10 | NEBRASKAN | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | FLOWING RICHES | 15.7% | 6.38 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | JOLLY RULER | 11.9% | 8.43 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | MEOWTH | 8.7% | 11.55 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | SKY SONG | 7.3% | 13.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 5.2% | 19.40 | 1 |
| 8 | 5 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 4.9% | 20.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | BUNTA BABY | 3.5% | 28.60 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | DREAMING WINNER | 2.8% | 35.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | RUN YES RUN | 1.2% | 82.52 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 0.9% | 110.21 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 135
PLACE
5 34
8 45
10 17
QUINELLA
5,8 984
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 250.5
5,10 96.5
8,10 92
FORECAST
8,5 1,982
TIERCE
8,5,10 8,233
TRIO
5,8,10 1,106
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 3,074
QUARTET
8,5,10,11 98,343
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,8/5,8,10 58,492
2ND DOUBLE
6/5 224.5
6/8 1,370.5