Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 4 over 1200m. ACE POWER, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by 3/4, with BIENVENUE second and WRITTEN CASA third. The 5.0 favourite FORTUNE WHISKEY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ACE POWER B-/V1/TT 1.09.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 46.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | WRITTEN CASA B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | DENFIELD TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | METAL KING CP1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 68.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | PRIME MORTAR V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH H A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 12 | 8.8 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | ENJOY GOLF V-/B2 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 5.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY PARK A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 7 | 12.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | SUMMIT CHEERS K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ENJOY GOLF | 17.0% | 5.90 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 15.7% | 6.38 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | PRIME MORTAR | 13.9% | 7.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 4 | BIENVENUE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 9.4% | 10.69 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | DENFIELD | 6.4% | 15.73 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | COUNTRY DANCER | 5.9% | 16.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | WRITTEN CASA | 5.6% | 17.90 | 3 |
| 9 | 8 | EXCEED THE WISH | 5.2% | 19.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | HAPPY PARK | 4.8% | 20.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | ACE POWER | 3.1% | 32.56 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | METAL KING | 2.4% | 42.20 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 465
PLACE
4 20.5
5 45.5
11 119
QUINELLA
4,11 1,480
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 186
4,11 453
5,11 877.5
FORECAST
11,4 3,705
TIERCE
11,4,5 61,260
TRIO
4,5,11 3,378
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 7,237
QUARTET
11,4,5,3 285,090
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,9/4,5,11 1,335,440
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 41
3/11 2,078.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,8,10/3,6,9/Any Combination 35,423