Happy Valley · 2025-07-09 · 11:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-07-09 was Class 5 over 1650m. SHINKANSEN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with FOREMOST TEDDY second and COURIER MAGIC third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite FOREMOST TEDDY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHINKANSEN Wire to wire CP/TT 1.39.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 1 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly CP-/XB/B2 E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 9 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE CP/H/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 5 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | TRADITION Closed strongly B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | YEABOI Closed strongly CP1/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 6 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | PODIUM Closed strongly B2/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 12 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE H/PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | CERVIN TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 8 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | GOR MO TUEN Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 108.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 6.9 | 11-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 22.0% | 4.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 15.4% | 6.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SHINKANSEN | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE | 10.6% | 9.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | COURIER MAGIC | 10.0% | 10.00 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 6.3% | 15.84 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | TRADITION | 4.9% | 20.29 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | YEABOI | 4.1% | 24.58 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | MEDIC ELITE | 3.9% | 25.41 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | PODIUM | 3.9% | 25.45 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | CERVIN | 3.8% | 26.12 | 10 |
| 12 | 1 | GOR MO TUEN | 1.9% | 52.26 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 133
PLACE
3 24.5
6 37
8 16
QUINELLA
6,8 262
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 140
3,8 63.5
6,8 92.5
FORECAST
6,8 689
TIERCE
6,8,3 5,141
TRIO
3,6,8 789
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 498
QUARTET
6,8,3,4 17,056
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/6 418.5
4/8 88