沙田 · 2025-07-13 · 08:40
第 2場
2025-07-13沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的CIRCUIT MIGHTY勝出，贏出3/4。VERBIER獲得亞軍；DRACO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 後段發力 B/TT 1.21.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 11 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | VERBIER 早段領放 V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 6.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | DRACO 後段發力 CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MY FLYING ANGEL 後段發力 B A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | HE WAS ME B/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MR GOOD VIBES 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 13 | 82.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN B/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | GLUCK RACER 後段發力 B H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 12 | 46.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER B/TT J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 4 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | ORIENTAL TYCOON V2 M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 10 | 51.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LITTLE FAIRY B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 54.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | POCHETTINO P-/B1/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | SUPREME WINNER SR-/B2 P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 22.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 12 | TATTENHAM C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VERBIER | 27.4% | 3.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 15.1% | 6.64 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 10.5% | 9.52 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | LITTLE FAIRY | 6.6% | 15.09 | 11 |
| 5 | 3 | DRACO | 6.1% | 16.41 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPREME WINNER | 5.8% | 17.30 | 13 |
| 7 | 2 | HE WAS ME | 5.6% | 17.98 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 4.5% | 22.44 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN | 4.3% | 23.16 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | POCHETTINO | 4.2% | 24.01 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | GLUCK RACER | 3.9% | 25.55 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | MR GOOD VIBES | 3.4% | 29.32 | 6 |
| 13 | 13 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 2.7% | 37.18 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 21.5
PLACE
1 13
3 28.5
8 19
QUINELLA
1,8 85
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 48
1,8 35.5
3,8 96
FORECAST
1,8 119
TIERCE
1,8,3 708
TRIO
1,3,8 236
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 1,471
QUARTET
1,8,3,7 13,210
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/1,12 205.5
4/8 80.5