沙田 · 2025-07-13 · 13:25
第 11場
2025-07-13沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的BEAUTY BOLT勝出，贏出3/4。MASTER OF ALL獲得亞軍；SPIRIT OF PEACE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門SOUTH STAR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT 後段發力 TT 1.21.11 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | MASTER OF ALL 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 10 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE 後段發力 M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | RIDING TOGETHER 早段領放 V/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPERB KID 後段發力 CP L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 12 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | SOLID CAR 後段發力 CP1/SR1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 44.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SOUTH STAR TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 3 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SKY VINO 後段發力 XB1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 14 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 13 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 7 | FLASH CURRENT TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT 後段發力 CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 8 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | GHORGAN TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 11 | 43.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | CALIFORNIA WAVES XB1/TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 2 | 105.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | MASTER CHAMPION CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 111.0 | 20-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT | 29.8% | 3.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY VINO | 19.3% | 5.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | SOUTH STAR | 14.4% | 6.95 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | RIDING TOGETHER | 10.0% | 9.97 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | FLASH CURRENT | 4.6% | 21.53 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 4.6% | 21.68 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | MASTER OF ALL | 3.1% | 32.63 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.0% | 33.17 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | STELLAR SWIFT | 2.9% | 34.97 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPERB KID | 2.7% | 36.71 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 2.1% | 48.04 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | SOLID CAR | 1.6% | 62.09 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | GHORGAN | 1.0% | 104.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | MASTER CHAMPION | 0.9% | 113.45 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 37
PLACE
5 16.5
12 42
14 52
QUINELLA
5,14 378
QUINELLA PLACE
5,12 90.5
5,14 134
12,14 439
FORECAST
5,14 567
TIERCE
5,14,12 5,731
TRIO
5,12,14 1,333
FIRST 4
5,10,12,14 2,280
QUARTET
5,14,12,10 35,247
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/5 325
3/14 461
2ND TREBLE
6/3/5 1,705
6/3/14 2,912
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/5,12,14 45,881
SIX UP
3,13/5,12/4,7/6,11/3,6/5,14 3,039
13/5/7/6/3/5 623,808
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —