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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 13:25

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 3 over 1400m. BEAUTY BOLT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with MASTER OF ALL second and SPIRIT OF PEACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite SOUTH STAR finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.21.11
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly TT 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 5 3.7 3/4
2 14 MASTER OF ALL Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So 10 22.0 3/4
3 12 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly M Chadwick · J Size 7 15.0 3/4
4 10 RIDING TOGETHER Led early V/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 4 6.1 1-3/4
5 1 SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP L Ferraris · K W Lui 12 21.0 3
6 13 SOLID CAR Closed strongly CP1/SR1 M F Poon · D J Hall 9 44.0 3
7 4 SOUTH STAR TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 3 3.1 3-1/2
8 8 SKY VINO Closed strongly XB1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 14 13.0 3-3/4
9 3 RISING FROM ASHES B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang 13 21.0 4
10 7 FLASH CURRENT TT H Bentley · K H Ting 1 13.0 5-1/4
11 9 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 8 22.0 6-3/4
12 2 GHORGAN TT K C Leung · K L Man 11 43.0 7
13 6 CALIFORNIA WAVES XB1/TT1 Y L Chung · W K Mo 2 105.0 9-1/4
14 11 MASTER CHAMPION CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 6 111.0 20-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY BOLT2. MASTER OF ALL+0.75L3. SPIRIT OF PEACE+0.75L4. RIDING TOGETHER+1.75L5. SUPERB KID+3L6. SOLID CAR+3L7. SOUTH STAR+3.5L8. SKY VINO+3.75L9. RISING FROM ASHES+4L10. FLASH CURRENT+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BEAUTY BOLT (29.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BEAUTY BOLT 29.8% 3.35 1
2 8 SKY VINO 19.3% 5.19 8
3 4 SOUTH STAR 14.4% 6.95 7
4 10 RIDING TOGETHER 10.0% 9.97 4
5 7 FLASH CURRENT 4.6% 21.53 10
6 12 SPIRIT OF PEACE 4.6% 21.68 3
7 14 MASTER OF ALL 3.1% 32.63 2
8 3 RISING FROM ASHES 3.0% 33.17 9
9 9 STELLAR SWIFT 2.9% 34.97 11
10 1 SUPERB KID 2.7% 36.71 5
11 6 CALIFORNIA WAVES 2.1% 48.04 13
12 13 SOLID CAR 1.6% 62.09 6
13 2 GHORGAN 1.0% 104.20 12
14 11 MASTER CHAMPION 0.9% 113.45 14
BEAUTY BOLT — wonSKY VINOSOUTH STARRIDING TOGETHERFLASH CURRENTSPIRIT OF PEACEMASTER OF ALLRISING FROM ASHESSTELLAR SWIFTSUPERB KIDCALIFORNIA WAVESSOLID CARGHORGANMASTER CHAMPION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 37

PLACE

5 16.5

12 42

14 52

QUINELLA

5,14 378

QUINELLA PLACE

5,12 90.5

5,14 134

12,14 439

FORECAST

5,14 567

TIERCE

5,14,12 5,731

TRIO

5,12,14 1,333

FIRST 4

5,10,12,14 2,280

QUARTET

5,14,12,10 35,247

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/5 325

3/14 461

2ND TREBLE

6/3/5 1,705

6/3/14 2,912

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,6/5,12,14 45,881

SIX UP

3,13/5,12/4,7/6,11/3,6/5,14 3,039

13/5/7/6/3/5 623,808

1 [J Size]

1 [Z Purton]