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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 09:10

Race 3

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. ALL'S WELL, ridden by B Thompson and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with BLUE BARON second and AWESOME TREASURE third. The 3.4 favourite NOBLE FANS finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.09.20
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 ALL'S WELL H/TT 1.09.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Thompson · C H Yip 10 15.0 3/4
2 14 BLUE BARON CP/XB/TT A Badel · W K Mo 11 28.0 3/4
3 3 AWESOME TREASURE CP/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes 5 5.9 1-1/4
4 11 ELEGANT LIFE B L Ferraris · T P Yung 4 7.0 1-1/2
5 6 NEWBORN MIRACLE TT M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 15.0 1-3/4
6 12 LEGEND STAR CP1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 7 38.0 2-1/2
7 9 NOBLE FANS B1/TT K Teetan · J Size 2 3.4 2-1/2
8 7 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT XB K C Leung · K W Lui 3 72.0 2-3/4
9 10 WIN SPEED B J Orman · M Newnham 12 21.0 4-1/4
10 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER B E C W Wong · F C Lor 13 6.8 5-1/2
11 2 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 14 8.5 6
12 13 KING ALLOY B H Bentley · K H Ting 6 50.0 9-1/4
13 5 GOOD CHAP H Bowman · D J Hall 8 86.0 15
14 4 PARTERRE B Y L Chung · W Y So 9 18.0 16-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALL'S WELL2. BLUE BARON+0.75L3. AWESOME TREASURE+1.25L4. ELEGANT LIFE+1.5L5. NEWBORN MIRACLE+1.75L6. LEGEND STAR+2.5L7. NOBLE FANS+2.5L8. THE GOLDEN KNIGHT+2.75L9. WIN SPEED+4.25L10. FUN N FUN TOGETHER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick NOBLE FANS (18.7%) finished 7th — the winner ALL'S WELL was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 NOBLE FANS 18.7% 5.34 7
2 3 AWESOME TREASURE 12.5% 8.02 3
3 1 FUN N FUN TOGETHER 10.3% 9.70 10
4 2 GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY 10.0% 10.04 11
5 6 NEWBORN MIRACLE 9.1% 10.98 5
6 11 ELEGANT LIFE 6.7% 14.93 4
7 8 ALL'S WELL 6.2% 16.24 1
8 12 LEGEND STAR 5.7% 17.42 6
9 14 BLUE BARON 4.7% 21.11 2
10 4 PARTERRE 4.2% 23.57 14
11 13 KING ALLOY 3.9% 25.38 12
12 10 WIN SPEED 3.7% 26.73 9
13 5 GOOD CHAP 2.9% 34.89 13
14 7 THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 1.3% 76.25 8
NOBLE FANSAWESOME TREASUREFUN N FUN TOGETHERGOLDENTRONICMIGHTYNEWBORN MIRACLEELEGANT LIFEALL'S WELL — wonLEGEND STARBLUE BARONPARTERREKING ALLOYWIN SPEEDGOOD CHAPTHE GOLDEN KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 156

PLACE

3 22

8 43

14 84

QUINELLA

8,14 2,581

QUINELLA PLACE

3,8 171.5

3,14 274

8,14 669

FORECAST

8,14 5,416

TIERCE

8,14,3 50,739

TRIO

3,8,14 5,103

FIRST 4

3,8,11,14 7,881

QUARTET

8,14,3,11 239,451

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,3,8,12/3,8,14 51,344

2ND DOUBLE

1,12/8 328

1,12/14 181