Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 10:10
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1600m. HAPPY UNIVERSE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with ETALON OR second and CALIFORNIA BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P 1.34.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 4 | 9.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | JOLLY JUMPER V/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 14 | 57.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FRANTANCK Led early TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 13 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 3 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 8 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | TOY SOLTERO B B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 2 | 84.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 14 | ARDEN B/E/TT M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 12 | 105.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 32 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | STAR BROSE | 26.8% | 3.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | ETALON OR | 22.1% | 4.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 11.0% | 9.07 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | CALIFORNIA BANNER | 6.3% | 15.88 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER UNICORN | 5.3% | 18.80 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 5.1% | 19.68 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | BEAUTY LIVE | 4.2% | 23.97 | 14 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 4.1% | 24.37 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | FRANTANCK | 3.6% | 27.84 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | JOLLY JUMPER | 2.9% | 34.33 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.9% | 34.46 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | MATSU VICTOR | 2.6% | 39.14 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | ARDEN | 1.7% | 60.47 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | TOY SOLTERO | 1.5% | 68.55 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 104.5
PLACE
5 15
6 32
11 31.5
QUINELLA
5,11 182
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 71.5
5,11 66.5
6,11 214
FORECAST
11,5 554
TIERCE
11,5,6 4,990
TRIO
5,6,11 640
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 8,137
QUARTET
11,5,6,12 165,159
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
8/3/5 684
8/3/11 15,619
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,10/5,6,11 9,831
4TH DOUBLE
3/5 35.5
3/11 895