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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 18:06

Race 5

Class 4 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.63
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P 1.34.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K H Ting 9 10.0 SH
2 5 ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 7 3.3 SH
3 6 CALIFORNIA BANNER Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo 4 9.7 1
4 12 JOLLY JUMPER V/TT H Bentley · T P Yung 14 57.0 2
5 1 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 5 15.0 2
6 10 STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 5.7 2-3/4
7 8 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C Fownes 10 12.0 2-3/4
8 2 FRANTANCK Led early TT P N Wong · P C Ng 11 15.0 3-1/4
9 7 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 13 6.1 3-3/4
10 4 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip 3 30.0 5
11 3 MATSU VICTOR B C L Chau · K W Lui 8 31.0 6
12 9 TOY SOLTERO B B Thompson · W Y So 2 84.0 13
13 14 ARDEN B/E/TT M Chadwick · J Size 12 105.0 22-3/4
14 13 BEAUTY LIVE B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 6 15.0 32

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1600m. HAPPY UNIVERSE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with ETALON OR second and CALIFORNIA BANNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY UNIVERSE—2. ETALON OR+0.1L3. CALIFORNIA BANNER+1L4. JOLLY JUMPER+2L5. SUPER UNICORN+2L6. STAR BROSE+2.75L7. FLAGSHIP WARRIOR+2.75L8. FRANTANCK+3.25L9. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+3.75L10. BRIGHT INHERITANCE+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick STAR BROSE (26.8%) finished 6th — the winner HAPPY UNIVERSE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 STAR BROSE 26.8% 3.73 6
2 5 ETALON OR 22.1% 4.52 2
3 7 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 11.0% 9.07 9
4 6 CALIFORNIA BANNER 6.3% 15.88 3
5 1 SUPER UNICORN 5.3% 18.80 5
6 8 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 5.1% 19.68 7
7 13 BEAUTY LIVE 4.2% 23.97 14
8 11 HAPPY UNIVERSE 4.1% 24.37 1
9 2 FRANTANCK 3.6% 27.84 8
10 12 JOLLY JUMPER 2.9% 34.33 4
11 4 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 2.9% 34.46 10
12 3 MATSU VICTOR 2.6% 39.14 11
13 14 ARDEN 1.7% 60.47 13
14 9 TOY SOLTERO 1.5% 68.55 12
STAR BROSEETALON ORCALIFORNIA MOXIECALIFORNIA BANNERSUPER UNICORNFLAGSHIP WARRIORBEAUTY LIVEHAPPY UNIVERSE — wonFRANTANCKJOLLY JUMPERBRIGHT INHERITANCEMATSU VICTORARDENTOY SOLTERO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 104.5

PLACE

5 15

6 32

11 31.5

QUINELLA

5,11 182

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 71.5

5,11 66.5

6,11 214

FORECAST

11,5 554

TIERCE

11,5,6 4,990

TRIO

5,6,11 640

FIRST 4

5,6,11,12 8,137

QUARTET

11,5,6,12 165,159

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/3/5 684

8/3/11 15,619

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,9,10/5,6,11 9,831

4TH DOUBLE

3/5 35.5

3/11 895