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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 12:15

Race 9

Class 3 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 3 over 1600m. HUGE WAVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with MISTER DAPPER second and ATULLIBIGEAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.13
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly TT 1.34.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting 5 2.2 1/2
2 11 MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly B/XB/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 2 6.2 1/2
3 4 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 6 17.0 1-3/4
4 9 POPE CODY TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 11 7.0 2-1/4
5 2 MICKLEY Closed strongly TT B Thompson · J Size 4 7.8 3
6 5 YOUNG ACHIEVER Closed strongly SR/TT H Bowman · J Richards 8 21.0 3-1/4
7 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 12 38.0 3-3/4
8 8 MONEY CATCHER B2 K C Leung · F C Lor 3 21.0 3-3/4
9 10 WITHALLMYFAITH Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D A Hayes 9 28.0 4-1/2
10 12 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly H/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu 7 32.0 4-3/4
11 14 LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP H T Mo · K W Lui 10 65.0 5
12 3 TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT L Ferraris · T P Yung 1 15.0 6-1/2
13 7 CALL ME TOPSEED B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 13 87.0 15
14 13 KOLACHI SR1/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte 14 200.0 20

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HUGE WAVE2. MISTER DAPPER+0.5L3. ATULLIBIGEAL+1.75L4. POPE CODY+2.25L5. MICKLEY+3L6. YOUNG ACHIEVER+3.25L7. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+3.75L8. MONEY CATCHER+3.75L9. WITHALLMYFAITH+4.5L10. PRESTIGE RICKY+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick HUGE WAVE (28.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 HUGE WAVE 28.2% 3.55 1
2 11 MISTER DAPPER 17.6% 5.69 2
3 2 MICKLEY 11.7% 8.53 5
4 9 POPE CODY 9.7% 10.27 4
5 8 MONEY CATCHER 6.1% 16.38 8
6 5 YOUNG ACHIEVER 5.2% 19.22 6
7 1 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 3.4% 29.04 7
8 3 TOURBILLON PRINCE 3.3% 29.96 12
9 12 PRESTIGE RICKY 3.3% 30.50 10
10 4 ATULLIBIGEAL 2.9% 34.09 3
11 7 CALL ME TOPSEED 2.7% 37.59 13
12 14 LUCK IS BACK 2.4% 41.78 11
13 10 WITHALLMYFAITH 2.3% 43.07 9
14 13 KOLACHI 1.1% 90.11 14
HUGE WAVE — wonMISTER DAPPERMICKLEYPOPE CODYMONEY CATCHERYOUNG ACHIEVERTHE GOLDEN SCENERYTOURBILLON PRINCEPRESTIGE RICKYATULLIBIGEALCALL ME TOPSEEDLUCK IS BACKWITHALLMYFAITHKOLACHI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 22.5

PLACE

4 38.5

6 12.5

11 19

QUINELLA

6,11 69.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 77

4,11 189

6,11 29.5

FORECAST

6,11 129

TIERCE

6,11,4 1,560

TRIO

4,6,11 336

FIRST 4

4,6,9,11 475

QUARTET

6,11,4,9 7,059

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,7/4,6,11 49,994

8TH DOUBLE

7/6 135

7/11 55