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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 08:05

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 5 over 1400m. SIGHT DREAMER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 1, with FIGHT TIME second and PANDA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite FIGHT TIME finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 8 8.4 1
2 5 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V Z Purton · D J Hall 9 3.2 1
3 6 PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · W Y So 4 26.0 3-1/2
4 7 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly CP H Bowman · D A Hayes 10 5.5 4-1/4
5 2 MAGIC COMBO Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 1 84.0 4-1/2
6 9 THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 12.0 5-1/2
7 13 URBAN TRIUMPH Closed strongly CP/TT B Thompson · C W Chang 5 24.0 5-3/4
8 12 NINJA DERBY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 15.0 6
9 11 FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 9.5 6-3/4
10 8 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting 7 12.0 8-1/2
11 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT CP-/BO2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 12 64.0 9
12 3 SANTORINI B A Badel · F C Lor 14 70.0 9-3/4
13 1 EURO ROCKS Led early PC-/B2/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 6 7.7 11-3/4
14 10 CAMP FIRE SR/TT J Orman · D J Whyte 11 40.0 17-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIGHT DREAMER2. FIGHT TIME+1L3. PANDA LEGEND+3.5L4. YOUNG HORIZON+4.25L5. MAGIC COMBO+4.5L6. THE CONCENTRATION+5.5L7. URBAN TRIUMPH+5.75L8. NINJA DERBY+6L9. FAIRY HORSE+6.75L10. SMILING COLLECTOR+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FIGHT TIME (20.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SIGHT DREAMER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 FIGHT TIME 20.9% 4.77 2
2 4 SIGHT DREAMER 13.8% 7.23 1
3 11 FAIRY HORSE 13.5% 7.42 9
4 12 NINJA DERBY 11.3% 8.83 8
5 9 THE CONCENTRATION 6.7% 14.82 6
6 7 YOUNG HORIZON 6.5% 15.40 4
7 1 EURO ROCKS 6.2% 16.03 13
8 8 SMILING COLLECTOR 4.1% 24.61 10
9 3 SANTORINI 4.0% 25.00 12
10 10 CAMP FIRE 3.5% 28.50 14
11 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT 2.8% 35.29 11
12 13 URBAN TRIUMPH 2.4% 41.62 7
13 6 PANDA LEGEND 2.2% 44.76 3
14 2 MAGIC COMBO 1.9% 52.63 5
FIGHT TIMESIGHT DREAMER — wonFAIRY HORSENINJA DERBYTHE CONCENTRATIONYOUNG HORIZONEURO ROCKSSMILING COLLECTORSANTORINICAMP FIREYOO YOO KNIGHTURBAN TRIUMPHPANDA LEGENDMAGIC COMBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 84.5

PLACE

4 27

5 15

6 69.5

QUINELLA

4,5 126.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 50

4,6 303.5

5,6 179.5

FORECAST

4,5 321

TIERCE

4,5,6 6,633

TRIO

4,5,6 1,154

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 895

QUARTET

4,5,6,7 25,187