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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 16:01

Race 1

Class 5 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly TT 1.21.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 8 8.4 1
2 5 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V Z Purton · D J Hall 9 3.2 1
3 6 PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly V/TT A Hamelin · W Y So 4 26.0 3-1/2
4 7 YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly CP H Bowman · D A Hayes 10 5.5 4-1/4
5 2 MAGIC COMBO Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 1 84.0 4-1/2
6 9 THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly TT- K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 12.0 5-1/2
7 13 URBAN TRIUMPH Closed strongly CP/TT B Thompson · C W Chang 5 24.0 5-3/4
8 12 NINJA DERBY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 13 15.0 6
9 11 FAIRY HORSE Closed strongly SB/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 9.5 6-3/4
10 8 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1 H Bentley · K H Ting 7 12.0 8-1/2
11 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT CP-/BO2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo 12 64.0 9
12 3 SANTORINI B A Badel · F C Lor 14 70.0 9-3/4
13 1 EURO ROCKS Led early PC-/B2/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 6 7.7 11-3/4
14 10 CAMP FIRE SR/TT J Orman · D J Whyte 11 40.0 17-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 5 over 1400m. SIGHT DREAMER, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by 1, with FIGHT TIME second and PANDA LEGEND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite FIGHT TIME finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIGHT DREAMER—2. FIGHT TIME+1L3. PANDA LEGEND+3.5L4. YOUNG HORIZON+4.25L5. MAGIC COMBO+4.5L6. THE CONCENTRATION+5.5L7. URBAN TRIUMPH+5.75L8. NINJA DERBY+6L9. FAIRY HORSE+6.75L10. SMILING COLLECTOR+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FIGHT TIME (20.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SIGHT DREAMER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 FIGHT TIME 20.9% 4.77 2
2 4 SIGHT DREAMER 13.8% 7.23 1
3 11 FAIRY HORSE 13.5% 7.42 9
4 12 NINJA DERBY 11.3% 8.83 8
5 9 THE CONCENTRATION 6.7% 14.82 6
6 7 YOUNG HORIZON 6.5% 15.40 4
7 1 EURO ROCKS 6.2% 16.03 13
8 8 SMILING COLLECTOR 4.1% 24.61 10
9 3 SANTORINI 4.0% 25.00 12
10 10 CAMP FIRE 3.5% 28.50 14
11 14 YOO YOO KNIGHT 2.8% 35.29 11
12 13 URBAN TRIUMPH 2.4% 41.62 7
13 6 PANDA LEGEND 2.2% 44.76 3
14 2 MAGIC COMBO 1.9% 52.63 5
FIGHT TIMESIGHT DREAMER — wonFAIRY HORSENINJA DERBYTHE CONCENTRATIONYOUNG HORIZONEURO ROCKSSMILING COLLECTORSANTORINICAMP FIREYOO YOO KNIGHTURBAN TRIUMPHPANDA LEGENDMAGIC COMBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 84.5

PLACE

4 27

5 15

6 69.5

QUINELLA

4,5 126.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 50

4,6 303.5

5,6 179.5

FORECAST

4,5 321

TIERCE

4,5,6 6,633

TRIO

4,5,6 1,154

FIRST 4

4,5,6,7 895

QUARTET

4,5,6,7 25,187