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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 17:37

Race 4

Class 4 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.88
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT 1.21.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So 5 8.0 HD
2 10 PEJIBAYE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 1 6.0 HD
3 9 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H J Orman · Y S Tsui 7 5.3 1-1/2
4 7 VON BAER Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · D A Hayes 10 24.0 2-1/2
5 2 TARGET AUDIENCE E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 14.0 3
6 1 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 4 4.0 3
7 12 GLACIATED Led early B P N Wong · P C Ng 2 16.0 3-3/4
8 5 BULLION BLITZ Closed strongly XB/B1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte 14 141.0 4
9 6 SUNSET TRAIL XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D Eustace 6 28.0 4-1/4
10 14 DRALA Closed strongly H B Thompson · P F Yiu 8 147.0 5-1/4
11 4 FORTUNE SUPERSTAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · M Newnham 11 9.6 7
12 8 LOVEISINTHEAIR TT K Teetan · J Size 9 7.4 7
13 13 RUN RAN RUN TT A Badel · W K Mo 3 50.0 9-1/4
14 11 SMART ENGINEER K De Melo · K W Lui 13 160.0 13

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1400m. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with PEJIBAYE second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite FUN TOGETHER finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEVAS TWELVE—2. PEJIBAYE+0.2L3. THE AUSPICIOUS+1.5L4. VON BAER+2.5L5. TARGET AUDIENCE+3L6. FUN TOGETHER+3L7. GLACIATED+3.75L8. BULLION BLITZ+4L9. SUNSET TRAIL+4.25L10. DRALA+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick THE AUSPICIOUS (16.5%) finished 3rd — the winner DEVAS TWELVE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 THE AUSPICIOUS 16.5% 6.04 3
2 3 DEVAS TWELVE 13.4% 7.46 1
3 8 LOVEISINTHEAIR 12.6% 7.92 12
4 10 PEJIBAYE 12.2% 8.23 2
5 1 FUN TOGETHER 10.7% 9.36 6
6 6 SUNSET TRAIL 8.7% 11.45 9
7 4 FORTUNE SUPERSTAR 8.6% 11.58 11
8 2 TARGET AUDIENCE 5.0% 20.04 5
9 12 GLACIATED 4.5% 22.03 7
10 7 VON BAER 2.6% 38.91 4
11 5 BULLION BLITZ 1.7% 60.52 8
12 13 RUN RAN RUN 1.6% 61.67 13
13 11 SMART ENGINEER 1.1% 93.93 14
14 14 DRALA 0.8% 128.43 10
THE AUSPICIOUSDEVAS TWELVE — wonLOVEISINTHEAIRPEJIBAYEFUN TOGETHERSUNSET TRAILFORTUNE SUPERSTARTARGET AUDIENCEGLACIATEDVON BAERBULLION BLITZRUN RAN RUNSMART ENGINEERDRALA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 80.5

PLACE

3 23

9 17.5

10 23

QUINELLA

3,10 297

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 62

3,10 100

9,10 60

FORECAST

3,10 623

TIERCE

3,10,9 1,636

TRIO

3,9,10 227

FIRST 4

3,7,9,10 1,980

QUARTET

3,10,9,7 43,297

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

8/3 859

8/10 79.5