Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 09:40
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1400m. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with PEJIBAYE second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite FUN TOGETHER finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DEVAS TWELVE Closed strongly TT 1.21.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 8.0 | HD |
| 2 | 10 | PEJIBAYE Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 1 | 6.0 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | VON BAER Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | TARGET AUDIENCE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | GLACIATED Led early B P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | BULLION BLITZ Closed strongly XB/B1/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 14 | 141.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SUNSET TRAIL XB1/TT1 H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 6 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | DRALA Closed strongly H B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 8 | 147.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR Closed strongly TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 9.6 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | LOVEISINTHEAIR TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 7.4 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | RUN RAN RUN TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 3 | 50.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 13 | 160.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 16.5% | 6.04 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | DEVAS TWELVE | 13.4% | 7.46 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 12.6% | 7.92 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | PEJIBAYE | 12.2% | 8.23 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | FUN TOGETHER | 10.7% | 9.36 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | SUNSET TRAIL | 8.7% | 11.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | FORTUNE SUPERSTAR | 8.6% | 11.58 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 5.0% | 20.04 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | GLACIATED | 4.5% | 22.03 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | VON BAER | 2.6% | 38.91 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | BULLION BLITZ | 1.7% | 60.52 | 8 |
| 12 | 13 | RUN RAN RUN | 1.6% | 61.67 | 13 |
| 13 | 11 | SMART ENGINEER | 1.1% | 93.93 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | DRALA | 0.8% | 128.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 80.5
PLACE
3 23
9 17.5
10 23
QUINELLA
3,10 297
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 62
3,10 100
9,10 60
FORECAST
3,10 623
TIERCE
3,10,9 1,636
TRIO
3,9,10 227
FIRST 4
3,7,9,10 1,980
QUARTET
3,10,9,7 43,297
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 859
8/10 79.5