Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 11:40

Race 8

Class 1 1600m Course A 11 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 1 over 1600m. BUNDLE AWARD, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by HD, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.33.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E 1.33.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 11 4.7 HD
2 4 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor 8 10.0 HD
3 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 3 14.0 1-1/4
4 5 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 6.2 1-1/2
5 8 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size 4 7.2 1-1/2
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 5 7.4 2
7 11 KEEFY M F Poon · F C Lor 6 15.0 2-3/4
8 6 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace 9 4.8 2-3/4
9 9 SOLEIL FIGHTER Led early B-/XB/CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes 1 18.0 3-1/4
10 10 WINNING DRAGON TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 2 34.0 6-3/4
11 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL J Orman · J Size 10 20.0 11-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE AWARD2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.2L3. BEAUTY JOY+1.25L4. PATCH OF THETA+1.5L5. YOUNG CHAMPION+1.5L6. CHANCHENG GLORY+2L7. KEEFY+2.75L8. MASSIVE SOVEREIGN+2.75L9. SOLEIL FIGHTER+3.25L10. WINNING DRAGON+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF THETA (21.2%) finished 4th — the winner BUNDLE AWARD was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 PATCH OF THETA 21.2% 4.71 4
2 8 YOUNG CHAMPION 16.2% 6.16 5
3 6 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN 14.7% 6.80 8
4 7 BUNDLE AWARD 10.7% 9.35 1
5 4 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.2% 13.97 2
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 6.6% 15.16 6
7 9 SOLEIL FIGHTER 6.6% 15.24 9
8 1 BEAUTY JOY 6.0% 16.55 3
9 11 KEEFY 4.0% 24.83 7
10 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 3.8% 26.07 11
11 10 WINNING DRAGON 2.9% 34.48 10
PATCH OF THETAYOUNG CHAMPIONMASSIVE SOVEREIGNBUNDLE AWARD — wonHAPPY TOGETHERCHANCHENG GLORYSOLEIL FIGHTERBEAUTY JOYKEEFYBEAUTY ETERNALWINNING DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 47.5

PLACE

1 39

4 29.5

7 18

QUINELLA

4,7 196.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 188

1,7 114

4,7 71

FORECAST

7,4 429

TIERCE

7,4,1 4,213

TRIO

1,4,7 940

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 929

QUARTET

7,4,1,5 18,635

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/4 87

5/7 278