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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 19:38

Race 8

Class 1 1600m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.40
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E 1.33.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 11 4.7 HD
2 4 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor 8 10.0 HD
3 1 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT K C Leung · A S Cruz 3 14.0 1-1/4
4 5 PATCH OF THETA Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 6.2 1-1/2
5 8 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly B K Teetan · J Size 4 7.2 1-1/2
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 5 7.4 2
7 11 KEEFY M F Poon · F C Lor 6 15.0 2-3/4
8 6 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace 9 4.8 2-3/4
9 9 SOLEIL FIGHTER Led early B-/XB/CP2 B Thompson · D A Hayes 1 18.0 3-1/4
10 10 WINNING DRAGON TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 2 34.0 6-3/4
11 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL J Orman · J Size 10 20.0 11-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 1 over 1600m. BUNDLE AWARD, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won by HD, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and BEAUTY JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNDLE AWARD—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.2L3. BEAUTY JOY+1.25L4. PATCH OF THETA+1.5L5. YOUNG CHAMPION+1.5L6. CHANCHENG GLORY+2L7. KEEFY+2.75L8. MASSIVE SOVEREIGN+2.75L9. SOLEIL FIGHTER+3.25L10. WINNING DRAGON+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF THETA (21.2%) finished 4th — the winner BUNDLE AWARD was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 PATCH OF THETA 21.2% 4.71 4
2 8 YOUNG CHAMPION 16.2% 6.16 5
3 6 MASSIVE SOVEREIGN 14.7% 6.80 8
4 7 BUNDLE AWARD 10.7% 9.35 1
5 4 HAPPY TOGETHER 7.2% 13.97 2
6 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 6.6% 15.16 6
7 9 SOLEIL FIGHTER 6.6% 15.24 9
8 1 BEAUTY JOY 6.0% 16.55 3
9 11 KEEFY 4.0% 24.83 7
10 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 3.8% 26.07 11
11 10 WINNING DRAGON 2.9% 34.48 10
PATCH OF THETAYOUNG CHAMPIONMASSIVE SOVEREIGNBUNDLE AWARD — wonHAPPY TOGETHERCHANCHENG GLORYSOLEIL FIGHTERBEAUTY JOYKEEFYBEAUTY ETERNALWINNING DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 47.5

PLACE

1 39

4 29.5

7 18

QUINELLA

4,7 196.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 188

1,7 114

4,7 71

FORECAST

7,4 429

TIERCE

7,4,1 4,213

TRIO

1,4,7 940

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 929

QUARTET

7,4,1,5 18,635

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/4 87

5/7 278