Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 12:50
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 3 over 1200m. CELESTIAL HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by SH, with LITTLE PARADISE second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 3.0 favourite LITTLE PARADISE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CELESTIAL HERO CP 1.08.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 12 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | LITTLE PARADISE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 3.0 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | SH |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY B Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 8 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 2 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | WONDERSTAR B E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 9.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TIER FLY M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 156.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | FORZA TORO TT1 A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 9.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | MATTERS MOST B/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 6.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | METRO POWER CP A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NEZHA TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 3 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 72.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | WE CAN PARTY XB1/TT1 K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 13 | 100.0 | 80-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPER INFINITY | 20.5% | 4.87 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | LITTLE PARADISE | 15.8% | 6.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | WONDERSTAR | 10.4% | 9.57 | 6 |
| 4 | 14 | MATTERS MOST | 9.4% | 10.63 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 8.9% | 11.24 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 6.8% | 14.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 6.6% | 15.07 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | CELESTIAL HERO | 6.5% | 15.30 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | WE CAN PARTY | 4.3% | 23.49 | 14 |
| 10 | 10 | METRO POWER | 3.4% | 29.75 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | LUCKY PLANET | 2.9% | 34.77 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | FORZA TORO | 2.5% | 40.18 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | TIER FLY | 1.1% | 88.27 | 7 |
| 14 | 11 | NEZHA | 0.8% | 125.54 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 143.5
PLACE
2 27.5
3 33
6 14.5
QUINELLA
3,6 206.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 141
2,6 50.5
3,6 79
FORECAST
3,6 521
TIERCE
3,6,2 2,921
TRIO
2,3,6 406
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 340
QUARTET
3,6,2,5 11,282
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
6/3 341
6/6 11.5