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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 11:10

Race 7

Class 4 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. BULB GENERAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Richards, won by 2-1/2, with KING OBERON second and STRAIGHT TO GLORY third. The 3.8 favourite KING OBERON finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BULB GENERAL CP/TT 1.08.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Richards 11 4.1 2-1/2
2 12 KING OBERON B E C W Wong · D J Whyte 4 3.8 2-1/2
3 7 STRAIGHT TO GLORY TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 10 20.0 3-1/4
4 13 RIDING HIGH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 7.5 3-1/4
5 6 RAINBOW SEVEN K C Leung · K W Lui 7 5.4 3-3/4
6 9 COME FAST FAY FAY TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 3 28.0 3-3/4
7 2 CHAMPION INSTINCT B/TT A Atzeni · D J Hall 12 94.0 4-3/4
8 3 BEAUTY MISSILE PC A Hamelin · F C Lor 14 19.0 5
9 10 WINNING MACHINE TT H Bentley · C S Shum 2 14.0 5-3/4
10 14 RUBY SAILING TT P N Wong · K L Man 5 7.1 6-1/4
11 1 AMAZING FUN H/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 1 46.0 8
12 4 CONSPIRATOR J Orman · M Newnham 9 166.0 8-1/4
13 8 ROMANTIC PARTY B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 135.0 8-1/2
14 11 SAL B/TT B Thompson · C W Chang 13 237.0 18-1/4
0 NORTHERN BEACHES H Bowman · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BULB GENERAL2. KING OBERON+2.5L3. STRAIGHT TO GLORY+3.25L4. RIDING HIGH+3.25L5. RAINBOW SEVEN+3.75L6. COME FAST FAY FAY+3.75L7. CHAMPION INSTINCT+4.75L8. BEAUTY MISSILE+5L9. WINNING MACHINE+5.75L10. RUBY SAILING+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick KING OBERON (21.2%) finished 2nd — the winner BULB GENERAL was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 KING OBERON 21.2% 4.73 2
2 14 RUBY SAILING 15.8% 6.31 10
3 6 RAINBOW SEVEN 15.1% 6.64 5
4 5 BULB GENERAL 12.4% 8.05 1
5 13 RIDING HIGH 6.2% 16.11 4
6 3 BEAUTY MISSILE 6.0% 16.59 8
7 9 COME FAST FAY FAY 5.4% 18.59 6
8 10 WINNING MACHINE 4.9% 20.20 9
9 7 STRAIGHT TO GLORY 4.9% 20.44 3
10 1 AMAZING FUN 2.9% 34.31 11
11 2 CHAMPION INSTINCT 2.1% 46.73 7
12 8 ROMANTIC PARTY 1.4% 73.02 13
13 4 CONSPIRATOR 0.9% 105.61 12
14 11 SAL 0.7% 147.90 14
KING OBERONRUBY SAILINGRAINBOW SEVENBULB GENERAL — wonRIDING HIGHBEAUTY MISSILECOME FAST FAY FAYWINNING MACHINESTRAIGHT TO GLORYAMAZING FUNCHAMPION INSTINCTROMANTIC PARTYCONSPIRATORSAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 41.5

PLACE

5 17.5

7 59

12 16

QUINELLA

5,12 99.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 150.5

5,12 37.5

7,12 126

FORECAST

5,12 218

TIERCE

5,12,7 2,404

TRIO

5,7,12 633

FIRST 4

5,7,12,13 1,257

QUARTET

5,12,7,13 21,076

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,13,14/5,7,12 47,174

6TH DOUBLE

13/5 730

13/12 203

TRIPLE TRIO

5,6,11/3,13,14/5,7,12 3,947,777

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,6,11/3,13,14/Any Combination 4,835