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Sha Tin · 2025-07-13 · 10:40

Race 6

Class 4 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-07-13 was Class 4 over 1400m. RAGING RAPIDS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with DO YOUR PART second and ONLY U third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite DO YOUR PART finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 RAGING RAPIDS Closed strongly TT 1.21.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size 2 14.0 1/2
2 3 DO YOUR PART XB/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 12 2.8 1/2
3 14 ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · T P Yung 8 9.1 1-1/4
4 9 WORLD HERO Led early B A Badel · D A Hayes 7 4.6 2
5 5 THE HEIR Closed strongly J Orman · C Fownes 10 11.0 2
6 8 SMART FAT CAT Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 11 9.7 3
7 6 AUTUMN VIBES H/SB/TT A Atzeni · J Richards 4 18.0 3
8 2 SAVVY WARRIOR E-/XB/TT H Bowman · D Eustace 3 22.0 4-1/2
9 1 VOYAGE BOSS M F Poon · F C Lor 1 11.0 5-3/4
10 11 CARRYON SMILING CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 9 22.0 6-1/2
11 4 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly CP-/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 13 46.0 6-1/2
12 7 LIGHTNING ARROW E C W Wong · P C Ng 6 149.0 7-1/2
13 10 BILLION TWO B/TT C L Chau · K H Ting 5 131.0 11-3/4
14 12 D STAR B/TT B Thompson · A S Cruz 14 106.0 21-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RAGING RAPIDS2. DO YOUR PART+0.5L3. ONLY U+1.25L4. WORLD HERO+2L5. THE HEIR+2L6. SMART FAT CAT+3L7. AUTUMN VIBES+3L8. SAVVY WARRIOR+4.5L9. VOYAGE BOSS+5.75L10. CARRYON SMILING+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DO YOUR PART (17.3%) finished 2nd — the winner RAGING RAPIDS was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 DO YOUR PART 17.3% 5.79 2
2 8 SMART FAT CAT 13.9% 7.18 6
3 9 WORLD HERO 13.6% 7.36 4
4 14 ONLY U 10.9% 9.14 3
5 6 AUTUMN VIBES 7.0% 14.19 7
6 5 THE HEIR 6.8% 14.63 5
7 2 SAVVY WARRIOR 6.6% 15.26 8
8 4 SUPER LOVE 6.0% 16.67 11
9 1 VOYAGE BOSS 5.5% 18.06 9
10 13 RAGING RAPIDS 4.1% 24.27 1
11 11 CARRYON SMILING 4.1% 24.44 10
12 7 LIGHTNING ARROW 2.1% 48.07 12
13 12 D STAR 1.2% 82.75 14
14 10 BILLION TWO 0.8% 125.34 13
DO YOUR PARTSMART FAT CATWORLD HEROONLY UAUTUMN VIBESTHE HEIRSAVVY WARRIORSUPER LOVEVOYAGE BOSSRAGING RAPIDS — wonCARRYON SMILINGLIGHTNING ARROWD STARBILLION TWO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 142

PLACE

3 15.5

13 43

14 23.5

QUINELLA

3,13 247.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,13 90

3,14 59

13,14 180.5

FORECAST

13,3 566

TIERCE

13,3,14 4,358

TRIO

3,13,14 612

FIRST 4

3,9,13,14 648

QUARTET

13,3,14,9 21,517

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

11/3 135

11/13 1,865