跑馬地 · 2025-09-17 · 14:20
第 7場
2025-09-17跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米。由M Chadwick策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SUPERB CAPITALIST勝出，贏出2。YOUTHFUL SPIRITS獲得亞軍；LA FORZA獲得季軍。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT 0.56.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | LA FORZA B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | JUSTIFYING TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR B/XB1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SPICY GOLD P/TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 9 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SIR CHARGE TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 32.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 15.5% | 6.44 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | FRIENDS OF SHAJING | 15.1% | 6.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | LA FORZA | 13.7% | 7.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | SPICY GOLD | 11.0% | 9.07 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | WINGS OF WAR | 8.3% | 11.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 7.8% | 12.85 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | JUSTIFYING | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 7.0% | 14.37 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.3% | 15.82 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | ROMANTIC SON | 4.9% | 20.56 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SIR CHARGE | 2.7% | 37.60 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 44.5
PLACE
1 19
2 37.5
4 23
QUINELLA
1,2 270.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 100
1,4 64.5
2,4 155.5
FORECAST
1,2 527
TIERCE
1,2,4 3,452
TRIO
1,2,4 637
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 950
QUARTET
1,2,4,8 17,333
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
2/1 410
2/2 151.5