跑馬地 · 2025-09-17 · 13:15
第 5場
2025-09-17跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、C S Shum訓練的MASTER CHAMPION勝出，贏出1-1/4。PATCH OF WATCH獲得亞軍；NEW POWER獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門HONEST WITNESS跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASTER CHAMPION 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | NEW POWER M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 4.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB-/B1/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH H L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD B-/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | I P O BROS B R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 144.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HONEST WITNESS TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 2.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | POWER SUMMIT SR/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CIRCUIT DUFFY L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 4 | 59.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 153.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | MEGA BONUS V E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 11 | 31.0 | 18-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HONEST WITNESS | 44.2% | 2.26 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | MASTER CHAMPION | 15.7% | 6.36 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH | 6.8% | 14.70 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | GLORY CLOUD | 6.6% | 15.13 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | NEW POWER | 6.1% | 16.51 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | MEGA BONUS | 4.4% | 22.99 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | PATCH OF WATCH | 3.7% | 27.39 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | POWER SUMMIT | 3.5% | 28.24 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | I P O BROS | 3.0% | 33.55 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 2.4% | 41.55 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | CIRCUIT DUFFY | 2.1% | 47.64 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | MULTIDUTCH | 1.5% | 65.95 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 39.5
PLACE
1 15
3 16
11 38.5
QUINELLA
1,11 315
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 35.5
1,11 95
3,11 106
FORECAST
1,11 607
TIERCE
1,11,3 2,699
TRIO
1,3,11 510
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 2,275
QUARTET
1,11,3,9 40,469
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/5/1 6,722
8/5/11 5,251
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 447.5
5/11 575.5