跑馬地 · 2025-10-08 · 13:50
第 7場
2025-10-08跑馬地第7場,Class 4,途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FLYING WROTE勝出。EXCEED THE WISH獲得亞軍;CHARMING BABE獲得季軍。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLYING WROTE 1:09.77 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 10 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | CHARMING BABE J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY PARK C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | DENFIELD B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WORLD HERO A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 9 | 6.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | INNO CENTURY M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | GRAND NOVA H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | ACE POWER L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | I P O BROS R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | WRITTEN CASA K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 12 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GRAND NOVA | 16.0% | 6.25 | 9 |
| 2 | 5 | ACE POWER | 15.5% | 6.43 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | CHARMING BABE | 10.8% | 9.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | FLYING WROTE | 10.6% | 9.47 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | WORLD HERO | 8.6% | 11.59 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 8.3% | 12.09 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | WRITTEN CASA | 6.0% | 16.61 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY PARK | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH | 5.1% | 19.77 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | I P O BROS | 5.0% | 19.83 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | INNO CENTURY | 4.6% | 21.51 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | DENFIELD | 4.3% | 23.27 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 44.5
PLACE
1 27
8 19.5
11 39.5
QUINELLA
8,11 290
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 56.5
1,11 167.5
8,11 107
FORECAST
8,11 495
TIERCE
8,11,1 2,765
TRIO
1,8,11 653
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 2,614
QUARTET
8,11,1,9 37,933
全部彩池(另 3 項)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/1,8,11 127,471
6TH DOUBLE
10/8 578
10/11 340.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,10/6,8,10/Any Combination 26,919