跑馬地 · 2025-11-19 · 14:20
第 8場
2025-11-19跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由H Bentley策騎、D A Hayes訓練的ROMANTIC SON勝出。BUNDLE OF CHARM獲得亞軍；SILO獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門LOYAL BRIGHT跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON 1:09.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 4.6 | — |
| 2 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SILO J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 8 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | LOYAL BRIGHT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 2.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | GOKO WIN K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 6 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | MY DAY MY WAY M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHEAHA Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GIANT LEAP E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 8 | CAPTAIN LINK M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 106.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LOYAL BRIGHT | 17.4% | 5.73 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | CHEAHA | 16.9% | 5.90 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | ALSONSO | 8.9% | 11.28 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | MY DAY MY WAY | 8.7% | 11.55 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 7.7% | 13.07 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 7.5% | 13.25 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | ROMANTIC SON | 6.7% | 14.90 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | GIANT LEAP | 6.6% | 15.15 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | SILO | 6.2% | 16.13 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | GOKO WIN | 4.7% | 21.41 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | REFUSETOBEENGLISH | 4.6% | 21.94 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | CAPTAIN LINK | 4.2% | 24.08 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 46
PLACE
3 32
4 26.5
9 16
QUINELLA
3,9 257.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 185
3,9 87
4,9 61.5
FORECAST
9,3 459
TIERCE
9,3,4 4,346
TRIO
3,4,9 788
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 5,377
QUARTET
9,3,4,7 94,350
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
9/3 171.5
9/9 565