跑馬地 · 2025-11-19 · 14:55
第 9場
2025-11-19跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1650米。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的SUPER UNICORN勝出。FLYING FORTRESS獲得亞軍；ANOTHER ZONDA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門SOUTH STAR跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 1:39.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 20.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS 後段發力 H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 4 | 9.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | I CAN 後段發力 L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 35.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FUN 後段發力 M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SOUTH STAR 後段發力 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | DEFINITIVE K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | OUTGATE 早段領放 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 2 | 6.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | STAR CONTACT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 17.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SOUTH STAR | 32.9% | 3.04 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 15.0% | 6.65 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | SOLID WIN | 14.3% | 6.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 7.7% | 12.94 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FUN | 5.6% | 17.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | DEFINITIVE | 4.8% | 20.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS | 3.4% | 29.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | I CAN | 3.4% | 29.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 3.3% | 29.86 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN | 3.3% | 30.05 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.50 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | OUTGATE | 2.8% | 35.44 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 202.5
PLACE
5 27.5
8 96
12 56.5
QUINELLA
5,12 943.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 546
5,12 262
8,12 975.5
FORECAST
12,5 2,628
TIERCE
12,5,8 42,977
TRIO
5,8,12 9,373
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 18,960
QUARTET
12,5,8,1 531,011
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
9/9/5 901
9/9/12 10,610
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/5,8,12 1,859,549
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 141
9/12 1,244.5
SIX UP
1/2/8/9/9/12 535,964
1,6/2,8/5,8/1,9/3,9/5,12 17,768
9 [D Eustace] —
3 [H Bentley] —