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Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 22:53

Race 9

Class 3 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1:39.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly 1:39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 20.0 —
2 5 FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly H Bentley · W K Mo 4 9.9 N
3 8 ANOTHER ZONDA J Orman · Y S Tsui 7 40.0 3/4
4 1 I CAN Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng 8 35.0 1
5 11 FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly M Chadwick · C S Shum 9 18.0 1-1/2
6 10 SOLID WIN Closed strongly C L Chau · P F Yiu 5 3.9 1-3/4
7 2 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor 12 3.2 2-1/2
8 4 DEFINITIVE K Teetan · D Eustace 1 16.0 4-1/4
9 6 STORMING DRAGON L Hewitson · J Richards 3 23.0 4-1/4
10 9 OUTGATE Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 15.0 5-1/4
11 3 HIGHLAND RAHY H Bowman · K W Lui 2 6.3 6-1/4
12 7 STAR CONTACT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 6 17.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 3 over 1650m. SUPER UNICORN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with FLYING FORTRESS second and ANOTHER ZONDA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SOUTH STAR finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER UNICORN—2. FLYING FORTRESS+0.05L3. ANOTHER ZONDA+0.75L4. I CAN+1L5. FANTASTIC FUN+1.5L6. SOLID WIN+1.75L7. SOUTH STAR+2.5L8. DEFINITIVE+4.25L9. STORMING DRAGON+4.25L10. OUTGATE+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SOUTH STAR (32.9%) finished 7th — the winner SUPER UNICORN was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 SOUTH STAR 32.9% 3.04 7
2 3 HIGHLAND RAHY 15.0% 6.65 11
3 10 SOLID WIN 14.3% 6.99 6
4 7 STAR CONTACT 7.7% 12.94 12
5 11 FANTASTIC FUN 5.6% 17.89 5
6 4 DEFINITIVE 4.8% 20.81 8
7 5 FLYING FORTRESS 3.4% 29.10 2
8 1 I CAN 3.4% 29.18 4
9 8 ANOTHER ZONDA 3.3% 29.86 3
10 12 SUPER UNICORN 3.3% 30.05 1
11 6 STORMING DRAGON 3.3% 30.50 9
12 9 OUTGATE 2.8% 35.44 10
SOUTH STARHIGHLAND RAHYSOLID WINSTAR CONTACTFANTASTIC FUNDEFINITIVEFLYING FORTRESSI CANANOTHER ZONDASUPER UNICORN — wonSTORMING DRAGONOUTGATE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 202.5

PLACE

5 27.5

8 96

12 56.5

QUINELLA

5,12 943.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 546

5,12 262

8,12 975.5

FORECAST

12,5 2,628

TIERCE

12,5,8 42,977

TRIO

5,8,12 9,373

FIRST 4

1,5,8,12 18,960

QUARTET

12,5,8,1 531,011

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

9/9/5 901

9/9/12 10,610

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,9/5,8,12 1,859,549

8TH DOUBLE

9/5 141

9/12 1,244.5

SIX UP

1/2/8/9/9/12 535,964

1,6/2,8/5,8/1,9/3,9/5,12 17,768

3 [H Bentley] —

9 [D Eustace] —