Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 3 over 1650m. SUPER UNICORN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with FLYING FORTRESS second and ANOTHER ZONDA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite SOUTH STAR finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly 1:39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 20.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS Closed strongly H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 4 | 9.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | I CAN Closed strongly L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 8 | 35.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SOUTH STAR Closed strongly Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 3.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | DEFINITIVE K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 1 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | OUTGATE Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 2 | 6.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | STAR CONTACT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 6 | 17.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SOUTH STAR | 32.9% | 3.04 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 15.0% | 6.65 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | SOLID WIN | 14.3% | 6.99 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 7.7% | 12.94 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FUN | 5.6% | 17.89 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | DEFINITIVE | 4.8% | 20.81 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS | 3.4% | 29.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | I CAN | 3.4% | 29.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 3.3% | 29.86 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPER UNICORN | 3.3% | 30.05 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | STORMING DRAGON | 3.3% | 30.50 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | OUTGATE | 2.8% | 35.44 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 202.5
PLACE
5 27.5
8 96
12 56.5
QUINELLA
5,12 943.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 546
5,12 262
8,12 975.5
FORECAST
12,5 2,628
TIERCE
12,5,8 42,977
TRIO
5,8,12 9,373
FIRST 4
1,5,8,12 18,960
QUARTET
12,5,8,1 531,011
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
9/9/5 901
9/9/12 10,610
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/5,8,12 1,859,549
8TH DOUBLE
9/5 141
9/12 1,244.5
SIX UP
1/2/8/9/9/12 535,964
1,6/2,8/5,8/1,9/3,9/5,12 17,768
9 [D Eustace] —
3 [H Bentley] —