Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly 1:40.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 1 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 3 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly A Badel · B Crawford | A Badel | B Crawford | 10 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GALE SAGA J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPREME WINNER M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | VIVA CHALEUR Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LOADED WITH FLUKE R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 9 | 57.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | DECRELOT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 11 | 57.0 | 37-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 5 over 1650m. APOLAR FIGHTER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with STERLING WONGCHOY second and COURIER MAGIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COURIER MAGIC | 18.8% | 5.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 16.9% | 5.92 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 13.8% | 7.27 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 11.4% | 8.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | VIVA CHALEUR | 7.3% | 13.74 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 6.3% | 15.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | DECRELOT | 5.6% | 17.88 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 5.6% | 17.99 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | GALE SAGA | 5.2% | 19.40 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 5.0% | 19.94 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPREME WINNER | 2.6% | 37.93 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | LOADED WITH FLUKE | 1.6% | 63.08 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38.5
PLACE
1 15.5
3 21.5
4 14.5
QUINELLA
3,4 155
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 62
1,4 30.5
3,4 56
FORECAST
4,3 267
TIERCE
4,3,1 617
TRIO
1,3,4 96
FIRST 4
1,3,4,12 169
QUARTET
4,3,1,12 3,242
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/3 93.5
12/4 397.5