Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 4 over 1650m. GLORIOUS JOURNEY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won, with TOP TIME second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite SMART CITY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly 1:39.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 7.7 | — |
| 2 | 1 | TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 6.4 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | SAVVY WARRIOR Closed strongly K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 38.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | WUKONG JEWELLERY H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT Led early J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 12 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SMART CITY J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE P N Wong · J Richards | P N Wong | J Richards | 4 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 6.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPLENDID FORCE L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 11 | LUCKY KING K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST | 18.2% | 5.49 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 16.4% | 6.11 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | SMART CITY | 14.4% | 6.96 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 | TOP TIME | 12.9% | 7.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 8.6% | 11.61 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 7.2% | 13.81 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | YOUTH POWER | 5.7% | 17.44 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 5.6% | 17.72 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | SOARING BRONCO | 5.4% | 18.51 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 4.3% | 23.07 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | SPLENDID FORCE | 1.2% | 86.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 77
PLACE
1 27
9 22.5
10 32
QUINELLA
1,9 363
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 116.5
1,10 163.5
9,10 128
FORECAST
9,1 710
TIERCE
9,1,10 4,635
TRIO
1,9,10 1,084
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 860
QUARTET
9,1,10,4 20,158
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,11/1,9,10 169,964
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 81
8/9 636.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,6,8/5,8,11/Any Combination 73,639