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Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 21:46

Race 7

Class 4 1650m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1:39.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly 1:39.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor 9 7.7 —
2 1 TOP TIME Closed strongly K De Melo · W Y So 10 8.4 1-1/2
3 10 YOUTH POWER Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes 7 14.0 2
4 4 NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 6 6.4 4
5 5 SAVVY WARRIOR Closed strongly K Teetan · D Eustace 11 38.0 4-1/4
6 2 WUKONG JEWELLERY H Bowman · J Size 5 10.0 4-1/4
7 6 INCREDIBLE MOMENT Led early J Orman · M Newnham 12 6.5 4-1/2
8 7 SMART CITY J McDonald · P F Yiu 1 4.7 4-3/4
9 3 SUNDAY'S SERENADE P N Wong · J Richards 4 11.0 5-1/4
10 12 SOARING BRONCO A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 6.4 6-3/4
11 8 SPLENDID FORCE L Hewitson · D J Whyte 8 73.0 8-1/2
— 11 LUCKY KING K C Leung · W K Mo — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 4 over 1650m. GLORIOUS JOURNEY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won, with TOP TIME second and YOUTH POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite SMART CITY finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GLORIOUS JOURNEY—2. TOP TIME+1.5L3. YOUTH POWER+2L4. NORTHERN BEAST+4L5. SAVVY WARRIOR+4.25L6. WUKONG JEWELLERY+4.25L7. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+4.5L8. SMART CITY+4.75L9. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+5.25L10. SOARING BRONCO+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NORTHERN BEAST (18.2%) finished 4th — the winner GLORIOUS JOURNEY was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 NORTHERN BEAST 18.2% 5.49 4
2 2 WUKONG JEWELLERY 16.4% 6.11 6
3 7 SMART CITY 14.4% 6.96 8
4 1 TOP TIME 12.9% 7.74 2
5 9 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 8.6% 11.61 1
6 3 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 7.2% 13.81 9
7 10 YOUTH POWER 5.7% 17.44 3
8 6 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 5.6% 17.72 7
9 12 SOARING BRONCO 5.4% 18.51 10
10 5 SAVVY WARRIOR 4.3% 23.07 5
11 8 SPLENDID FORCE 1.2% 86.40 11
NORTHERN BEASTWUKONG JEWELLERYSMART CITYTOP TIMEGLORIOUS JOURNEY — wonSUNDAY'S SERENADEYOUTH POWERINCREDIBLE MOMENTSOARING BRONCOSAVVY WARRIORSPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 77

PLACE

1 27

9 22.5

10 32

QUINELLA

1,9 363

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 116.5

1,10 163.5

9,10 128

FORECAST

9,1 710

TIERCE

9,1,10 4,635

TRIO

1,9,10 1,084

FIRST 4

1,4,9,10 860

QUARTET

9,1,10,4 20,158

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

5,8,11/1,9,10 169,964

6TH DOUBLE

8/1 81

8/9 636.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,6,8/5,8,11/Any Combination 73,639