Happy Valley · 2025-11-19 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-19 was Class 5 over 1200m. PODIUM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with TELECOM POWER second and SONIC BOOM third. The 1.7 favourite RUN RUN TIMING finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PODIUM 1:10.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | TELECOM POWER H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 5 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SONIC BOOM M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 4 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | EURO ROCKS H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 67.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER ELITE A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 47.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CLUB ACE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 45.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | LEGEND STAR J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 1 | 6.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | SHOTGUN J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 8 | 59.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 1.7 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 86.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING | 35.2% | 2.84 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 10.6% | 9.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | SONIC BOOM | 9.3% | 10.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 5 | LEGEND STAR | 7.9% | 12.73 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | TELECOM POWER | 7.7% | 13.02 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 7.5% | 13.36 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | CLUB ACE | 4.6% | 21.57 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | PODIUM | 4.3% | 23.46 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER ELITE | 4.2% | 23.60 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | EURO ROCKS | 3.9% | 25.80 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | SHOTGUN | 2.6% | 38.01 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 2.3% | 44.40 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 145
PLACE
1 40.5
8 26
11 23
QUINELLA
1,8 678
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 191.5
1,11 313.5
8,11 145
FORECAST
8,1 1,402
TIERCE
8,1,11 12,880
TRIO
1,8,11 2,683
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 5,226
QUARTET
8,1,11,10 115,584
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,8,11 42,445
2ND DOUBLE
4/1 90.5
4/8 258.5