跑馬地 · 2025-11-19 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-11-19跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的MR DESIRA勝出。BUNTA BABY獲得亞軍；LOVING VIBES獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MR DESIRA 0:57.28 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 8 | BUNTA BABY P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 5.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | LOVING VIBES C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CALL TO COMMAND L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 5 | 101.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | STAR PERFORMER L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 9.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ONE LOVE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | QUICK MONEY J McDonald · C H Yip | J McDonald | C H Yip | 4 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 6.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 9 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | THOUSAND CUPS Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 65.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MR DESIRA | 35.1% | 2.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | BUNTA BABY | 21.6% | 4.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | STAR PERFORMER | 8.9% | 11.25 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING MACHINE | 6.0% | 16.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | QUICK MONEY | 5.6% | 17.82 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER | 5.0% | 20.17 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.7% | 21.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | LOVING VIBES | 4.5% | 22.04 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | THOUSAND CUPS | 3.0% | 33.55 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 2.8% | 35.62 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | CALL TO COMMAND | 1.5% | 67.11 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | ONE LOVE | 1.3% | 79.18 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 28
PLACE
2 14
6 36.5
8 21.5
QUINELLA
2,8 84
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 60
2,8 38
6,8 102.5
FORECAST
2,8 148
TIERCE
2,8,6 940
TRIO
2,6,8 267
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 450
QUARTET
2,8,6,3 6,001
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/1/2 789
8/1/8 288
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/2,6,8 29,819
4TH DOUBLE
1/2 62.5
1/8 25