跑馬地 · 2025-11-26 · 12:45
第 5場
2025-11-26跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1800米。由J McDonald策騎、D J Whyte訓練的OCEAN IMPACT勝出。KASA PAPA獲得亞軍；OUR LUCKY GLORY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門HAKKA RADIANCE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | OCEAN IMPACT 後段發力 1:50.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · D J Whyte | J McDonald | D J Whyte | 10 | 7.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | KASA PAPA 後段發力 A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY 後段發力 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE 早段領放 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | CHINA WIN 後段發力 H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 12 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | NEARLY FINE 後段發力 E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | VIVACIOUS WIN B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 4 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 8 | 6.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PING HAI COMET M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 1 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CALIFORNIA SUN M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 2 | 37.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 17.1% | 5.86 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPREME AGILITY | 13.2% | 7.57 | 9 |
| 3 | 9 | OCEAN IMPACT | 11.8% | 8.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 10.2% | 9.77 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8.8% | 11.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | CHINA WIN | 8.0% | 12.56 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 6.2% | 16.17 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 5.1% | 19.79 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | NORTHERN BEAST | 4.6% | 21.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | CALIFORNIA SUN | 3.9% | 25.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | NEARLY FINE | 2.7% | 37.46 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 78
PLACE
9 25.5
10 36.5
12 24
QUINELLA
9,12 240.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 174
9,12 81
10,12 121.5
FORECAST
9,12 553
TIERCE
9,12,10 7,817
TRIO
9,10,12 1,411
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 2,269
QUARTET
9,12,10,5 46,590
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
12/4/9 5,586
12/4/12 720
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/9,10,12 255,818
4TH DOUBLE
4/9 284
4/12 94