跑馬地 · 2025-11-26 · 11:45
第 3場
2025-11-26跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、C Fownes訓練的SOMELOVEFROMABOVE勝出。FLOW WATER FLOW獲得亞軍；NEVER SETTLE獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門NEVER SETTLE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 1:09.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 9.1 | — |
| 2 | 4 | FLOW WATER FLOW H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 26.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 5 | NEVER SETTLE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 3.8 | HD |
| 4 | 11 | SONIC PURSUIT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 12 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 2 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | TACTICAL COMMAND A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 5.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FUN ELITE E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 6.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | DASHING MAURISON R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | 9 | 62.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GOLDEN DARCI K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 10 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | CONSPIRATOR H Doyle · B Crawford | H Doyle | B Crawford | 4 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 28.6% | 3.49 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK | 15.0% | 6.67 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | NEVER SETTLE | 14.7% | 6.83 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | FLOW WATER FLOW | 11.0% | 9.07 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | FUN ELITE | 5.8% | 17.38 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | FRANCIS MEYNELL | 4.9% | 20.39 | 12 |
| 7 | 12 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 4.5% | 22.45 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | GOLDEN DARCI | 4.0% | 25.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | SONIC PURSUIT | 3.8% | 26.30 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.1% | 32.28 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | DASHING MAURISON | 2.4% | 41.47 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | CONSPIRATOR | 2.3% | 43.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 91.5
PLACE
4 58.5
5 16.5
12 29
QUINELLA
4,12 983
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 83.5
4,12 306
5,12 79.5
FORECAST
12,4 1,671
TIERCE
12,4,5 10,843
TRIO
4,5,12 1,534
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 3,153
QUARTET
12,4,5,11 85,904
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/4,5,12 1,129,764
2ND DOUBLE
5/4 1,008
5/12 5,344