跑馬地 · 2025-12-03 · 13:15
第 5場
2025-12-03跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的GENIUS BABY勝出。REWARDING BUDDY獲得亞軍；VICTOR THE RAPID獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SILVER SPURS跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GENIUS BABY 1:09.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 9.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 8 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 4 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CALL TO COMMAND M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 12 | 73.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LEGENDARY IMPACT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 1 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | BRAVE WIN C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 64.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | GIANT BALLON L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SILVER SPURS E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 2.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BASIC INSTINCT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 56.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | MASTER RESOLUTE R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 7 | 143.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | IMPENDING LEGACY L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 29.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SILVER SPURS | 38.9% | 2.57 | 9 |
| 2 | 9 | REWARDING BUDDY | 11.3% | 8.86 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | GENIUS BABY | 9.3% | 10.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO | 7.2% | 13.80 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | LEGENDARY IMPACT | 6.5% | 15.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | GIANT BALLON | 6.4% | 15.63 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | BASIC INSTINCT | 5.2% | 19.27 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 4.6% | 21.53 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | IMPENDING LEGACY | 4.3% | 23.06 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | CALL TO COMMAND | 2.7% | 36.92 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | BRAVE WIN | 2.4% | 42.13 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | MASTER RESOLUTE | 1.2% | 85.74 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 90.5
PLACE
1 29.5
8 24
9 15
QUINELLA
8,9 176.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 145
1,9 98
8,9 53
FORECAST
8,9 453
TIERCE
8,9,1 3,878
TRIO
1,8,9 653
FIRST 4
1,3,8,9 747
QUARTET
8,9,1,3 21,100
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/2/8 1,409
6/2/9 142
4TH DOUBLE
2/8 294.5
2/9 39