跑馬地 · 2025-12-03 · 14:55
第 8場
2025-12-03跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1800米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的JOY OF SPRING勝出。LIVEANDLETLIVE獲得亞軍；WROTE A NEW PAGE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門WROTE A NEW PAGE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING 後段發力 1:48.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 6.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | LIVEANDLETLIVE 早段領放 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 後段發力 J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STAR CONTACT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHARITY GAIN 後段發力 L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 7 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MONDIAL M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | STURDY RUBY 後段發力 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | FALLON 後段發力 M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 8.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 11 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 9 | 47.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 36.6% | 2.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 13.7% | 7.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | STURDY RUBY | 7.7% | 12.91 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR CONTACT | 7.5% | 13.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | CHARITY GAIN | 5.1% | 19.47 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 4.1% | 24.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | FALLON | 4.1% | 24.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 3.2% | 31.17 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON | 1.7% | 57.57 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | MONDIAL | 1.6% | 63.13 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP | 1.1% | 88.13 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 69
PLACE
2 22.5
4 16.5
5 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 161
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 51
2,5 61
4,5 47
FORECAST
2,5 349
TIERCE
2,5,4 1,338
TRIO
2,4,5 201
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 547
QUARTET
2,5,4,6 11,160
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/10/2 56,406
6/10/5 6,486
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/2,4,5 198,547
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 6,710.5
10/5 995.5
SIX UP
2,6/2,3/8,9/6,11/4,10/2,5 9,776
9 [H Doyle] —
1 [C Fownes] —