Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 14:55
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 3 over 1800m. JOY OF SPRING, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won, with LIVEANDLETLIVE second and WROTE A NEW PAGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite WROTE A NEW PAGE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly 1:48.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 6.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE Closed strongly J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | STAR CONTACT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 7 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MONDIAL M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 38.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | FALLON Closed strongly M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 8.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 10 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP D Probert · F C Lor | D Probert | F C Lor | 11 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON R Kingscote · C H Yip | R Kingscote | C H Yip | 9 | 47.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 36.6% | 2.73 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 13.7% | 7.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | JOY OF SPRING | 13.6% | 7.35 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | STURDY RUBY | 7.7% | 12.91 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR CONTACT | 7.5% | 13.33 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | CHARITY GAIN | 5.1% | 19.47 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 4.1% | 24.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | FALLON | 4.1% | 24.65 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 3.2% | 31.17 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | S J TOURBILLON | 1.7% | 57.57 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | MONDIAL | 1.6% | 63.13 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | TALENTS TRUMP | 1.1% | 88.13 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 69
PLACE
2 22.5
4 16.5
5 19.5
QUINELLA
2,5 161
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 51
2,5 61
4,5 47
FORECAST
2,5 349
TIERCE
2,5,4 1,338
TRIO
2,4,5 201
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 547
QUARTET
2,5,4,6 11,160
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/10/2 56,406
6/10/5 6,486
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/2,4,5 198,547
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 6,710.5
10/5 995.5
SIX UP
2,6/2,3/8,9/6,11/4,10/2,5 9,776
9 [H Doyle] —
1 [C Fownes] —