Happy Valley · 2025-12-03 · 12:45
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-03 was Class 4 over 1200m. PERFECT GENERAL, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won, with TURIN CHAMPIONS second and GIDDY UP third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL 1:09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 3 | TURIN CHAMPIONS H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | GIDDY UP M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SAME TO YOU L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | KING GLORIOSO L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY H Doyle · K H Ting | H Doyle | K H Ting | 12 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | SPEEDY TRIDENT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 3 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | GREAT STATE M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 7.8 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | MOTOMAN J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 9 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC COSMOS Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 126.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PERFECT GENERAL | 24.2% | 4.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 16.0% | 6.24 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | TURIN CHAMPIONS | 12.7% | 7.87 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | GREAT STATE | 10.3% | 9.71 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | KING GLORIOSO | 8.9% | 11.23 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | SAME TO YOU | 7.2% | 13.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 5.1% | 19.78 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | GIDDY UP | 4.9% | 20.41 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 4.5% | 22.07 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 2.8% | 36.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | MOTOMAN | 2.2% | 44.62 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC COSMOS | 1.2% | 84.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 27
PLACE
2 14
3 38.5
6 28
QUINELLA
2,3 231.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 81.5
2,6 49
3,6 198.5
FORECAST
2,3 333
TIERCE
2,3,6 2,323
TRIO
2,3,6 552
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 1,139
QUARTET
2,3,6,8 15,937
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/2,3,6 10,486
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 205
6/3 79.5